Looking at this amateur player’s card in Canada, you literally have to rub your eyes to believe it. He has simply accomplished an unreal feat that defies understanding but also statistics! Explanations,
Eagle, albatross and hole-in-one
A hole-in-one is the accomplishment of a lifetime for a golfer.
Some of us manage two or three. The probability is 13,000/1, so it may take you a while. For a circuit pro, the odds go to 3,000/1. Doing an Eagle is more common. For very good players, we can estimate the frequency at once a month.
The approximate odds for a Sunday golfer to make an Eagle are difficult to calculate. Let’s say once every 75 games or 1500/1. An Albatross is much rarer. Even among the pros, making 2 on a par 5 happens very rarely. Louis Oosthuizen on the Sunday of the 2012 Masters, and Gene Sarazen in 1935 on the 15 of Augusta are the most famous Albatross.
This year, there was that of Maximilian Kieffer in June in Munich on the DP World Tour. The odds are around 1,000,000/1, especially due to the fact that only 10% of golfers are able to hit a par 5 in two shots. It is therefore even rarer than a hole-in-one.
So imagine doing all of that in the same game! Impossible you say! And yet it happened to Karlos Jeong of the Southwood Golf & Country Club south of Winnipeg in Canada in the first round of the club championship. He started with five pars and two bogeys.
But to complete his trip, he made two eagles! The first thanks to a perfect iron shot on the par 3 hole 8, so hole-in-one! The second on the 9 a par 5. Rather very satisfied with his fate, Mr. Jeong was still -2 at the start of the 16 a par 5 from 447 meters.
This is where he landed his second shot directly. AL-BA-TROS! Incredible but true and completely unreal for an amateur: 7 under par in just 9 holes! If we multiply each probability, as is the current rule of statistics, the chances of achieving the three exploits in the same game reach the improbable odds of 30,000,000,000,000 against 1. To sum up, you have a much better chance of winning the lottery than of matching your performance.
