New Poll Shows Tight Presidential Race If Elections Were Held Today

A new opinion poll has revealed a tight contest for the presidency if elections were held today, with President William Ruto holding a narrow lead over Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna.

According to a poll conducted by Research 8020, President Ruto leads with 26% support, while Senator Sifuna is close behind at 25%, making it a near tie at the top.

The survey results released on Saturday, 24th October 2026, suggest a highly competitive political environment ahead of the 2027 General Election. The one percent margin between the two leaders falls within the poll’s margin of error, indicating a statistical dead heat.

If the findings are anything to go by, the race could be one of the most contested in recent history. While President Ruto still enjoys incumbency advantage, Sifuna’s strong showing points to growing support for alternative voices, particularly among urban and youthful voters.

Research 8020 is yet to release the full details of the poll, including the sample size, methodology, and how other potential presidential contenders performed.

The poll comes at a time when political realignments are intensifying across the country, with both government and opposition camps stepping up grassroots engagements.

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