Heavy Rain Expected in Most Parts of Kenya starting On This Date as Kenya Met Issues Warning

According to the Kenya Meteorological Department, rainfall is expected across 37 counties between Friday, October 9, and Friday, October 16, 2026, with isolated thunderstorms possible in some areas.

The seven-day forecast warns that rainfall distribution may vary significantly within the affected counties. This means some locations could experience showers while neighbouring areas remain dry throughout the forecast period.

In the north-eastern and coastal regions, the counties expected to receive rainfall include Mandera, Wajir, Marsabit, Garissa, Tana River, Lamu, Kilifi, Mombasa and Kwale.

Western Kenya is also expected to experience rainfall in Kakamega, Vihiga, Busia, Bungoma, Kisumu, Kisii, Nyamira, Migori, Siaya and Homa Bay.

In the Rift Valley region, the forecast covers Kericho, Nandi, Bomet, Nakuru, Elgeyo-Marakwet, West Pokot, Baringo, Uasin Gishu and Trans Nzoia.

The central and Mount Kenya regions are also expected to receive rainfall. The counties listed include Nyeri, Murang’a, Kirinyaga, Embu, Meru, Kiambu, Tharaka Nithi, Laikipia and Nyandarua.

Additionally, parts of Nairobi, Kitui, Makueni, Kajiado and Narok could experience showers during the seven-day period.

Residents have been encouraged to monitor official weather updates and remain alert to changing conditions, particularly where isolated storms are expected. The department’s warning about uneven rainfall distribution also means local conditions may differ from one area to another, even within the same county.

The forecast comes as Kenya continues preparing for the possibility of El Niño-related rainfall and its potential effects on agriculture, infrastructure and daily activities.

On Thursday, October 8, President William Ruto urged farmers to reduce their reliance on rain-fed agriculture and consider irrigation as a way of protecting food production against unpredictable weather conditions.

Speaking at the Agriculture and Food Security Transformation Summit at Jamhuri Park in Nairobi, Ruto emphasised the need for farmers to adopt more dependable methods of managing agricultural production rather than relying entirely on rainfall.

The President pointed to uncertainty surrounding the anticipated El Niño rains as a reason to strengthen irrigation and other controlled farming practices. Such measures could help farmers manage water resources more effectively and reduce their vulnerability to changing weather patterns.

The rainfall outlook is particularly important for agricultural communities, which depend on weather conditions for planting, crop development and harvesting. However, the actual impact will depend on the amount, timing and distribution of rainfall in individual locations.

Residents and farmers are encouraged to continue following updates from the Kenya Meteorological Department throughout the forecast period and make decisions based on the latest official advisories.

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