President Ruto Leads in Nyanza, Rift Valley, North Eastern and Coast, Latest Opinion Poll Shows

President William Ruto is leading in four regions of Kenya as the country prepares for the 2027 General Election, according to the latest opinion poll released by Swiss Poll International on Thursday, October 29, 2026.

The survey shows that Ruto leads in Nyanza, Rift Valley, North Eastern and Coast, while Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna is ahead in Western and Nairobi. Wiper Democratic Movement leader Kalonzo Musyoka leads in Eastern, while former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua is ahead in Central.

In Nyanza, Ruto leads with 31.8 per cent, followed by Sifuna with 22.6 per cent. Kalonzo ranks third with 20.9 per cent, while former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang’i has 7.6 per cent. Gachagua follows with 3.4 per cent.

In Rift Valley, Ruto commands a significant lead with 64.6 per cent, followed by Kalonzo with 12.0 per cent. Sifuna ranks third with 7.6 per cent, while Kiharu MP Ndindi Nyoro has 6.7 per cent. Matiang’i and Gachagua have 4.1 per cent and 3.9 per cent, respectively.

In North Eastern, Ruto leads with 58.0 per cent, followed by Kalonzo with 15.7 per cent. Sifuna comes third with 9.7 per cent, while Matiang’i has 4.8 per cent. Gachagua and Nyoro have 3.6 per cent and 2.6 per cent, respectively.

At the Coast, Ruto is ahead with 39.3 per cent, followed by Kalonzo with 28.6 per cent. Sifuna ranks third with 15.9 per cent, while Matiang’i has 5.8 per cent. Gachagua and Nyoro have 3.7 per cent and 1.3 per cent, respectively.

In Western, Sifuna leads with 35.8 per cent, followed by Ruto with 33.4 per cent. Kalonzo ranks third with 12.8 per cent, while Matiang’i has 5.6 per cent. Gachagua follows with 4.0 per cent.

In Nairobi, Sifuna is ahead with 32.3 per cent, followed by Ruto with 29.7 per cent. Kalonzo ranks third with 18.8 per cent, while Gachagua has 6.3 per cent. Matiang’i follows with 6.0 per cent.

In Eastern, Kalonzo leads with 39.8 per cent, followed by Ruto with 35.8 per cent. Sifuna ranks third with 8.6 per cent, while Matiang’i has 5.0 per cent. Nyoro and Gachagua have 4.4 per cent and 4.6 per cent, respectively.

In Central, Gachagua leads with 30.5 per cent, narrowly ahead of Ruto, who has 29.0 per cent. Nyoro ranks third with 12.5 per cent, followed by Matiang’i with 9.1 per cent and Kalonzo with 9.0 per cent.

The survey also shows that undecided voters account for 8.9 per cent in Nyanza, the highest share among the eight regions. Coast has 4.3 per cent, while Western records 3.9 per cent.

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