Kenya Met Warns of Rain in 44 Counties, Thunderstorms in 21 Over Five Days

The Kenya Meteorological Service Authority (KMSA) has warned of rainfall across 44 of Kenya’s 47 counties over the next five days, with thunderstorms expected in 21 counties between Friday, October 23, and Tuesday, October 27, 2026.

According to a five day weather forecast issued on October 21, only Isiolo, Turkana and Kajiado are expected to remain dry throughout the forecast period. The warning covers several regions of the country, with residents in western Kenya, the Rift Valley and the Lake Victoria basin expected to experience thunderstorms, particularly in the afternoons.

The 21 counties under a thunderstorm alert are West Pokot, Samburu, Trans Nzoia, Uasin Gishu, Elgeyo Marakwet, Nandi, Baringo, Nakuru, Narok, Kericho, Bomet, Kakamega, Vihiga, Bungoma, Busia, Siaya, Kisumu, Homa Bay, Migori, Kisii and Nyamira.

Nandi, Kericho and Kakamega are expected to experience thunderstorms throughout all five days, while Bungoma, Busia and Migori could receive thunderstorms on four days. Kericho, Kisii and Nyamira are also forecast to experience moderate showers accompanied by thunder and lightning on at least three days. Kakamega and Bungoma are expected to receive moderate thunderstorms on Tuesday, October 27.

Along the Coast, Mombasa, Kwale, Kilifi and Lamu are expected to remain dry until Saturday before rainfall begins on Sunday. Mombasa and Kilifi are forecast to receive moderate showers on Monday, while Lamu could experience moderate rainfall on Monday and Tuesday mornings. Tana River and Taita Taveta are expected to receive light showers on Monday and Tuesday.

Northern and northeastern Kenya will also begin experiencing rainfall from Sunday. Mandera is forecast to receive moderate rainfall on Sunday and Monday, while Wajir is expected to experience light showers on Monday, followed by moderate rainfall on Tuesday. Garissa and Marsabit are likely to receive lighter rainfall, mainly from Monday.

In central and eastern Kenya, rainfall is expected mainly during the afternoons and at night from Sunday. Tharaka Nithi, Embu, Kirinyaga and Murang’a are forecast to receive moderate overnight showers, while Nyeri and Kiambu could experience moderate rainfall on Monday night. Meru, Kitui, Machakos and Makueni are expected to receive lighter showers, with Nyandarua forecast to experience light rainfall on Tuesday afternoon.

Nairobi is expected to remain sunny until Sunday night, when light showers are forecast to begin. Rainfall is expected to continue on Monday afternoon and night, extending into Tuesday morning and afternoon. The capital’s daytime temperatures are projected to fall from a high of 31°C on Friday to 29°C on Monday, while overnight temperatures are expected to range between 15°C and 17°C.

Temperatures will vary considerably across the country during the five day period. Turkana is expected to record the highest temperatures, reaching 38°C on Friday, Saturday and Monday. Nyandarua, meanwhile, is forecast to experience some of the coldest conditions, with minimum temperatures of 8°C on Friday and Monday.

The meteorological agency has advised Kenyans to consult the five day outlook alongside its daily 24 hour weather forecasts for more specific updates. County level weather information is also available through the offices of county directors of meteorological services, allowing residents to obtain forecasts tailored to their respective areas.

https://www.tuko.co.ke/politics/644226-kenya-met-warns-rain-44-counties-thunderstorms-21-5-days/

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