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Daily Insight for CEOs: Scenario planning for uncertain markets in Ghana

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Ernest De-Graft Egyir, Founding CEO and Consultant, Chief Executives Network Ghana

The Ghanaian economy is filled with opportunities, but it is also influenced by unpredictable factors such as currency fluctuations, evolving government policies, and global economic shifts.

For CEOs, relying on static business plans is no longer viable. Scenario planning has become an essential tool to anticipate potential market changes and adapt strategies accordingly.

What is Scenario Planning?

Scenario planning is a strategic approach where leaders develop multiple “what-if” scenarios to prepare for various possible futures.

Unlike traditional planning, which focuses on a single projection, scenario planning helps businesses remain agile by identifying risks and opportunities across a range of outcomes.

How Can CEOs in Ghana Leverage Scenario Planning?

1. Identify Key Drivers of Change:
Monitor critical factors that influence your business—such as exchange rates, commodity prices, and consumer behavior.

2. Develop 3-4 Potential Scenarios:
For instance:
• Optimistic Scenario: Increased foreign investment and stable currency rates.
• Pessimistic Scenario: Supply chain disruptions and policy uncertainty.
• Neutral Scenario: Incremental market growth with stable conditions.

3. Create Contingency Plans:
Outline specific actions your organization will take in response to each scenario, such as adjusting pricing strategies, reallocating resources, or diversifying revenue streams.

4. Engage Your Team:
Scenario planning is most effective when it involves cross-functional collaboration. Gather input from finance, operations, and marketing teams to build robust plans.

Actionable Tip for Today:
• Schedule a strategy session this week to identify your company’s top three uncertainties for 2024. Use these uncertainties to draft a preliminary set of scenarios for the new year.

Why This Matters

In Ghana’s dynamic business environment, companies that anticipate change and adapt quickly will outperform those that rely solely on rigid plans. Scenario planning equips CEOs with the tools to make proactive decisions, safeguard profitability, and seize emerging opportunities.

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Fire destroys Kantamanto market

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The aftermath of Kantamanto fire which has destroyed several shops The aftermath of Kantamanto fire which has destroyed several shops

A devastating fire has ravaged the Kantamanto market, causing huge damage to several shops and properties.

The Ghana National Fire Service confirmed that the fire, which broke out around 1 a.m. on Thursday, January 2, 2024, has been contained and efforts are ongoing to prevent further destruction.

As of the latest update, thirteen fire tenders are on-site battling the intense fire, with firefighting teams working tirelessly to control the flames and prevent them from spreading.

Footage from the scene shows the market engulfed in smoke, with the fire visibly wreaking havoc.

The Public Relations Officer of the Ghana National Fire Service, Alex King Nartey who reported live from the site, confirmed that no casualties have been reported so far.

“While the fire has not yet been fully extinguished, it has been contained to prevent further spread. There have been no reported fatalities,” Nartey stated. “The situation is still being managed, and we’re doing everything we can to control it.”

The cause of the fire is still under investigation, with authorities working to determine the source of the blaze and assess the extent of the damage.

Watch the footage below:

MAG/EB