10.2 C
London
Saturday, May 17, 2025

IERPP cautions GoldBod: Ghana gold export math discrepancy explained


Ghana’s gold export figures for April 2025 raise serious questions. The government allocated $279 million to buy gold from small-scale miners, yet reported $897.6 million in exports, a 220% increase in revenue.

This breakdown examines whether the math adds up or if hidden factors explain the discrepancy.

Simplified Math Breakdown

What $279 million can actually buy?

  • Gold Price (April 2025): $96,560 per kg
  • Calculated Purchase:
    $279,000,000 ÷ $96,560/kg ≈ 2,890 kg (2.89 tonnes)

Problem:
Ghana exported 9,295 kg (9.295 tonnes)—6.4 tonnes more than the fund could buy.

Government’s Promise vs. Reality

  • Promised Purchase: 3 tonnes/week = 12 tonnes/month
  • Actual Export: 9.295 tonnes
  • Missing Gold: 12 – 9.295 = 2.7 tonnes

Contradiction:
Even the promised 12 tonnes exceeds what $279M could buy (only 2.89 tonnes).

Revenue Mismatch

  • Expected Revenue (from $279M fund):
    2.89 tonnes × $96,560/kg = $279M (just breaking even).
  • Actual Export Revenue: $897.6M
  • Discrepancy: $897.6M – $279M = $618.6M extra

Question:
Where did the additional $600M+ come from?

Possible Explanations

  1. Other Gold Sources: Large mining companies contributed (not small miners).
  2. Old Stockpiles: Sold stored gold from reserves.
  3. Exchange Rate Trick: Cedi depreciation inflated dollar earnings.
  4. Overstated Numbers: Misreporting or creative accounting.

The numbers do not logically align. If the government only spent $279M, the exports should have been $279M, not $897M. The $600M+ gap suggests:

  • Unreported gold sources, or
  • Inflated export figures.

DISCLAIMER: The Views, Comments, Opinions, Contributions and Statements made by Readers and Contributors on this platform do not necessarily represent the views or policy of Multimedia Group Limited.

DISCLAIMER: The Views, Comments, Opinions, Contributions and Statements made by Readers and Contributors on this platform do not necessarily represent the views or policy of Multimedia Group Limited.

Latest news
Related news