Why Nairobi Is So Hot Before the El Niño Rains Arrive

Why Nairobi Is So Hot Before the El Niño Rains Arrive

If Nairobi feels hotter than usual lately, you’re not imagining it. Residents have been complaining about unusually high temperatures, even though El Niño rains are expected this October-December season. kenyans

The heat doesn’t mean the rains are cancelled. Kenya Met says the developing El Niño is intensifying and warns of above-average rain from the last week of September through December, with floods and even landslides possible. Forecasters expect it to keep strengthening and peak towards the end of the year. kenyanskenyans

The picture is also not simple. Experts disagree on exactly when the short rains will start, and forecast reliability for Nairobi, Central, Western, Rift Valley and Nyanza is only 50 to 70 per cent. Once the rains come, they could be heavy. A strong El Niño combined with a positive Indian Ocean Dipole could bring prolonged, intense wet spells across Eastern Africa from October 2026 to January 2027. kenyanskenyans

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