William Ruto, Kalonzo Musyoka Take an Early Lead in Latest Opinion Poll: See Position of Sifuna

President William Ruto and Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna have emerged as joint frontrunners in the latest opinion poll tracking potential candidates ahead of the 2027 General Election.

The survey, conducted by Trends and Insights for Africa (TIFA) Research, places the two politicians at 31 per cent each, suggesting a closely contested presidential race.

According to the findings released on November 12, former Vice President Kalonzo Musyoka follows with nine per cent support.

Former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang’i secured five per cent, while former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua recorded four per cent.

Kiharu MP Ndindi Nyoro attracted one per cent, with 15 per cent of respondents remaining undecided.

The findings also reveal significant changes in Kenyans’ political preferences compared with previous surveys.

Sifuna has recorded a notable increase in support after emerging as a leading figure in the Linda Mwananchi Movement. His rating rose from 10 per cent in May to 15 per cent in July before reaching 31 per cent in the latest survey.

Ruto’s support also increased, moving from 24 per cent in May and July to 31 per cent in November.

Kalonzo, meanwhile, has experienced a decline from 25 per cent in November 2025 to nine per cent in the latest findings.

The survey was conducted between October 26 and November 5, 2026, involving 2,036 respondents across all 47 counties. It had a margin of error of plus or minus 2.16 percentage points.

The findings come amid ongoing opposition discussions about the possibility of presenting a joint presidential candidate in 2027.

Although Ruto and Sifuna currently share the highest rating, the figures represent public preferences at the time of the survey and do not determine the eventual election outcome.

Political alliances, campaigns, and other developments could influence the race before Kenyans head to the ballot.

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