Millie Odhiambo Reacts to Latest TIFA Poll Showing Ruto and Sifuna Tied at 31%, Kalonzo at 9%

Suba North MP Millie Odhiambo has questioned the findings of the latest TIFA Research opinion poll, which placed President William Ruto and Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna at 31% each in the race for the 2027 presidential election.

In a Facebook post on Friday night, November 13, the vocal lawmaker raised questions about the survey’s findings, suggesting that the figures communicated political messages beyond the popularity ratings presented to the public.

The Suba North MP said she was intrigued by the findings, noting that opinion polls are often sponsored and that sponsors can influence certain aspects to communicate particular messages.

She questioned the ranking of political formations, with the ruling United Democratic Alliance (UDA) emerging as the most popular party at 25%, followed by the Linda Mwananchi Movement at 17% and the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) at 10%.

The Suba North MP also questioned the figures on political kingpinship in Luo Nyanza, particularly the reported 28% ratings for ODM leader Oburu Odinga and Embakasi East MP Babu Owino, asking what had happened to other leaders previously mentioned in the contest.

The self-proclaimed ‘bad girl’ of Kenyan politics sought to understand why President Ruto’s support in Nyanza was relatively low in the poll, while questioning whether Sifuna should celebrate being ranked on the same footing as the Head of State.

The TIFA survey placed Wiper Patriotic Front Party leader Kalonzo Musyoka third in the presidential popularity rankings at 9%, followed by Jubilee Party leader Fred Matiang’i at 5% and former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua at 4%.

Millie also questioned Gachagua’s performance in the Mt Kenya region, where Sifuna was ranked as more popular than the DCP leader, who is perceived as the de facto kingpin of the region.

The MP did not identify the sponsor she suspected could have influenced the survey, adding that the only person celebrating the outcome should be the poll’s sponsor.

The survey was conducted between October 26 and November 5, 2026, covering 2,036 respondents across all 47 counties.

Ruto’s allies dismissed the poll as fake, with Mwala MP Vincent Kawaya alleging that it was sponsored by retired President Uhuru Kenyatta to boost Sifuna’s chances of being named the opposition flagbearer while downplaying Kalonzo’s chances.

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