Big Court Ruling Shakes Up NDC Race: Why Haruna Iddrisu Could Now Decide Who Wins

A recent ruling by the Supreme Court on how political parties conduct their presidential primaries has caused a major shake-up in the race for the National Democratic Congress (NDC) flagbearer position. According to a post analyzing the situation, this ruling has changed the game by reducing the power of elected officials in the voting process. For the average person, this simply means the rules have changed, and a different group of people will now have a bigger say in who becomes the party’s leader.

Recent polls show how the race is looking. Among elected NDC delegates, Ato Forson is currently leading with 32%, followed by Asiedu Nketia at 23%, while Haruna Iddrisu is at 5%. However, a large 28% are still undecided. But when you look at all NDC voters in the September tracking poll, the picture changes. Ato Forson’s lead grows to 43%, Asiedu Nketia moves up to 31%, and Haruna Iddrisu, who seemed to be out of the race, jumps to 13%. This shows that different groups of people have different opinions on who should lead the party.

The Supreme Court ruling specifically affects who is allowed to vote. Among card-bearing members of the NDC, Ato Forson and Asiedu Nketia both see their support increase to 45% and 33%, respectively, while Haruna stays at 13%. However, among non-card-bearing members, Haruna Iddrisu’s support rises to 15%, while Ato Forson and Asiedu Nketia drop to 39% and 29%. This tells us that Haruna Iddrisu is more popular among people who are not official card-carrying members, which could be important depending on how the new rules are applied.

When it comes to a one-on-one contest, the numbers show Ato Forson with a clear advantage. If the race comes down to just Ato Forson and Asiedu Nketia, Ato Forson leads among all NDC voters (58% to 42%), among card-bearing members (57% to 43%), and among non-card-bearing members (58% to 42%). This means that if other candidates drop out and support Ato Forson, he would likely win comfortably against Asiedu Nketia.

In summary, the Supreme Court ruling has potentially made Haruna Iddrisu the “kingmaker” in this race. Even though he is not leading, his supporters could decide who wins if the race goes to a head-to-head contest. The big question now is: Will Haruna Iddrisu join forces to help Asiedu Nketia (also known as General Mosquito), or will he use his influence to help sink Asiedu Nketia’s ambition? For the NDC, the answer to this question could determine who becomes the party’s next leader.