The Numbers Have Shifted New Poll Shows Big Changes in Ashanti and Eastern Regions

A new political analysis is making waves online, and it is all about how voters in the Ashanti and Eastern Regions are thinking right now compared to the 2024 elections. The post, which uses data science to compare old and new polls, reveals some surprising trends. For the average person, this is not just about numbers; it is about understanding which political party is gaining ground and which one is losing it. The analysis looks at who people voted for in 2024 and who they plan to vote for now, giving a clear picture of the political mood in these two key regions.

The first big finding is about the demographics. The data shows that nearly 79% of the people polled are 44 years or younger, and 78% are Christians. Interestingly, 65% of them are Akans. You would think this would be a huge advantage for the NPP, but the data tells a different story. Only 31% of the respondents now say they are NPP members, while a massive 27% say they are floating voters (people who have not made up their minds), and 23% say they are NDC. This means the NPP can no longer take the Ashanti and Eastern Regions for granted. The people are changing their minds, and the parties need to pay attention.

The analysis also looked at specific matchups. In a race between Dr. Bawumia, Asiedu Nketia, and Kennedy Agyapong, the data shows Dr. Bawumia would get 49.5%, Asiedu Nketia 38.1%, and Kennedy Agyapong 7.5%. Compared to 2024, Dr. Bawumia has only gained a tiny 0.8%, while Asiedu Nketia has lost 7.6% of the votes that went to Mahama. However, the biggest surprise is that if Kennedy Agyapong is removed from the race, Dr. Bawumia only gains a small bump to 50.1%. This means that Kennedy Agyapong’s supporters are not automatically moving to Dr. Bawumia. They are looking elsewhere, and this is a big problem for the NPP campaign.

The situation gets even more dramatic if Ato Forson is the NDC candidate. In that scenario, Dr. Bawumia would get 45.8%, Ato Forson 43%, and Kennedy Agyapong 7.5%. Compared to 2024, both Dr. Bawumia and Ato Forson have lost ground, while Kennedy Agyapong has gained significantly. If Kennedy drops out, Dr. Bawumia goes up to 48.5%, and Ato Forson goes to 44.5%. The data clearly shows that Dr. Bawumia does not benefit much when Kennedy Agyapong is out of the race. This is a warning sign for the NPP: they cannot rely on Kennedy’s exit to save them. They need to convince voters directly.

In the end, this analysis is a wake-up call for all political parties. The people of Ashanti and Eastern Regions are not blindly loyal to any party anymore. They are watching, they are thinking, and they are ready to change their minds. The data shows that the NPP has a lot of work to do to win back the trust of the Akans, who are now moving towards the floating voter category. For the NDC, the data shows that they have a real chance to make inroads if they play their cards right. The message is clear: 2024 is gone, and 2026 will be a different game entirely. The parties must listen to the people or risk losing their votes.