Who Is Leading the Nairobi Gubernatorial Race According to the Latest Opinion Poll

The race for the Nairobi gubernatorial seat is taking shape ahead of the upcoming general election. The front-runners are incumbent Johnson Sakaja, Embakasi East MP Babu Owino, Embakasi North MP James Gakuya, and Kasarani MP Ronald Karauri.

According to the latest opinion poll by Politrack Africa, James Gakuya is ahead in the race with 29.7 percent popularity. He is followed by Babu Owino, who has 27.4 percent, and Ronald Karauri, who has 12.8 percent.

Johnson Sakaja is fourth with 8.0 percent, while Cabinet Secretary for Public Service Geoffrey Ruku is fifth with 5.6 percent. Geoffrey Mosiria is sixth with 5.0 percent, followed by Bishop Margaret Wanjiru with 4.0 percent.

Patrick Musili Mbangula has 3.7 percent, Simon Ngunjiri has 3.2 percent, while the undecided voters make up 0.7 percent.

Gakuya is an ally of former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua and he is running under the Democracy for the Citizens Party (DCP) ticket. He is among the MPs who opposed the impeachment of Gachagua and have remained his supporters.

Babu Owino is using The Mwananchi Party (TMP), which he is expected to officially launch after he takes its leadership. Babu left the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) after he refused to embrace the broad-based arrangement. He also claimed the party was planning to give the Nairobi gubernatorial ticket to Sakaja.

Karauri is a member of the ruling United Democratic Alliance (UDA), but it seems he is planning to defect. He recently said he will run as an independent candidate if he doesn’t find the right party to use.

Governor Sakaja, on the other hand, recently left UDA and joined ODM. He said the late Raila Odinga had told him to join ODM and he will now defend his seat on the party ticket.

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