“This Is the Most Current NDC Delegates Polls” – Mussa Dankwah

According to an Official Facebook Post by Mussa Dankwah on November 9, 2026, the Executive Director of Global InfoAnalytics has reaffirmed the relevance of his organisation’s NDC delegates tracking poll, insisting that it represents the most current measurement of delegates’ preferences ahead of the party’s 2028 presidential primaries. In his post, captioned, “This is the most current NDC delegates polls. Any other poll being circulated is out of date,” Dankwah shared the September 2026 survey results, which place Finance Minister Dr Cassiel Ato Forson ahead of NDC National Chairman Johnson Asiedu Nketia.

The poll, conducted between September 11 and 13, 2026, surveyed 3,615 NDC delegates nationwide. Its overall results show Dr Ato Forson recording 32 per cent, while Asiedu Nketia follows with 23 per cent. This gives the Finance Minister a nine-percentage-point lead over the NDC National Chairman in the survey.

The figures also reveal the level of support enjoyed by other potential contenders. Haruna Iddrisu recorded five per cent, while Julius Debrah and Professor Naana Jane Opoku-Agyemang each obtained four per cent. Professor Joshua Alabi polled two per cent, while Eric Opoku and another unnamed contender each recorded one per cent.

One of the most significant findings, however, is the 28 per cent of delegates who remain undecided. This means that more than one-quarter of respondents had not selected any of the named contenders at the time of the survey. The undecided figure is important because it indicates that the preferences captured in September should not be interpreted as a final decision by the party’s delegates.

A comparison with the July 2026 survey also reveals movement in the contest. Ato Forson’s support increased from 22 per cent to 32 per cent, representing a 10-percentage-point rise. Asiedu Nketia, on the other hand, declined from 27 per cent to 23 per cent. The proportion of undecided delegates also reduced slightly, from 30 per cent to 28 per cent.

Global InfoAnalytics reported a 99 per cent confidence level and a margin of error of approximately ±2.17 percentage points. These methodological details provide important context when interpreting the findings, although the margin of error does not account for every possible source of survey error.

Dankwah’s insistence that other circulating polls are outdated also comes amid different surveys examining the NDC’s internal leadership contest. For instance, a Ghana News Agency report published on September 26 discussed a Citizens Perception Survey involving 9,330 respondents, including 3,750 core NDC delegates. That survey examined perceptions of suitability and the ability to unite the party, rather than simply measuring the same national preference question used in the Global InfoAnalytics tracking poll. The differences in sampling, questions and methodology mean that the results should not automatically be treated as directly interchangeable.

Similarly, a separate report on the Ashanti and Eastern regions presented regional findings that should be distinguished from the nationwide figures. A poll measuring preferences in two regions does not necessarily contradict a national survey because the geographical coverage and respondent groups are different.

Dankwah’s November 9 post therefore places renewed attention on the September tracking poll and the figures it contains. While the survey provides a snapshot of NDC delegates’ preferences, the substantial undecided bloc and the possibility of changing opinions mean that subsequent measurements could produce different results.

As the party approaches its 2028 presidential selection process, the figures are likely to remain part of the discussion surrounding the potential contenders. However, the poll represents the views captured during its survey period, not a final verdict on who will eventually emerge as the NDC’s presidential candidate.

Source: Official Facebook Post by Mussa Dankwah – November 9, 2026.

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