Bawumia Leads Ato Forson by 3% in Ashanti and Eastern Regions as New 2028 Poll Reveals Figures

According to a report by GhanaWeb on Monday, November 9, 2026, former Vice President and New Patriotic Party (NPP) flagbearer Dr Mahamudu Bawumia has taken a narrow lead over Finance Minister Dr Cassiel Ato Forson in the Ashanti and Eastern regions, according to a September 2026 national tracking poll conducted by Global InfoAnalytics.

The latest poll has generated political interest because it examines a possible presidential contest between the two prominent politicians ahead of Ghana’s 2028 general elections. The findings suggest that Dr Bawumia maintains an advantage in two regions traditionally considered important strongholds of the New Patriotic Party.

According to the figures released by Global InfoAnalytics, Dr Bawumia obtained 46 per cent of voter support, while Dr Ato Forson followed closely with 43 per cent in a hypothetical presidential contest involving multiple candidates.

The results mean that the former Vice President is ahead of the Finance Minister by just three percentage points, although the research firm has indicated that the difference falls within the poll’s margin of error.

The survey also included former Assin Central Member of Parliament Kennedy Agyapong, who recorded 8 per cent of voter support. Movement for Change leader Alan Kyerematen secured 2 per cent, while New Force leader Nana Kwame Bediako obtained 1 per cent. Other candidates collectively received another 1 per cent.

Interestingly, the poll also examined what could happen if Kennedy Agyapong were excluded from the hypothetical presidential contest.

In that scenario, Dr Bawumia’s support increased from 46 per cent to 48 per cent, while Dr Ato Forson’s percentage also rose from 43 per cent to 45 per cent.

Alan Kyerematen’s support increased from 2 per cent to 4 per cent, while Nana Kwame Bediako’s share moved from 1 per cent to 2 per cent.

The findings suggest that Kennedy Agyapong’s supporters may not automatically transfer their votes to Dr Bawumia if the former Assin Central MP does not participate in the 2028 presidential election.

According to Global InfoAnalytics Executive Director Musa Dankwah, the movement in the figures indicates that some of Agyapong’s supporters could consider other political candidates rather than automatically supporting the NPP flagbearer.

The development could become an important consideration for the NPP as it prepares for the next general election, particularly because the Ashanti and Eastern regions have historically played significant roles in the party’s electoral performance.

For the National Democratic Congress (NDC), the figures also place Dr Ato Forson in an interesting position as discussions continue over who could lead the party into the 2028 presidential election.

President John Dramani Mahama is serving his second constitutional term and has indicated that he will not seek another term in office.

However, it is important to note that the poll does not represent the final outcome of the 2028 election. It only reflects voter preferences during the period the survey was conducted, with the election still more than two years away.

The latest findings have nevertheless provided fresh material for political discussions, particularly regarding Dr Bawumia’s position in the NPP’s traditional strongholds and Dr Ato Forson’s potential appeal among voters.

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