Babu Owino Trails in the Nairobi Gubernatorial Race, Latest Opinion Poll Shows

Embakasi East Member of Parliament Babu Owino is trailing in the Nairobi gubernatorial race, according to the latest opinion poll released by Politrack Africa on Monday, November 9, 2026.

The survey reveals that Embakasi North MP James Mwangi Gakuya is in the top spot with 29.7% popularity. Babu follows closely in second place, commanding 27.4% of the respondents’ favour.

Trailing further behind in third place is Kasarani MP Ronald Karauri, who garnered 12.8% support, while the current Nairobi Governor, Johnson Sakaja, ranks fourth in the poll, registering 8.0%.

Cabinet Secretary for Public Service Geoffrey Ruku has 5.6%, closely followed by Geoffrey Mosiria at 5.0% and Bishop Margaret Wanjiru, who has 4.0% support.

Patrick Musili Mbangula stands at 3.7%, while Simon Ngunjiri holds 3.2% of the voters’ preference. According to the Politrack Africa data, only 0.7% of the respondents remain undecided.

Babu is running for the seat under The Mwananchi Party (TMP), which he recently acquired in preparation for the next general election. This is after he left the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM), stating that the party was planning to give Sakaja the ticket.

Gakuya is a member of the Democracy for Citizens Party (DCP), which he is expected to vie on. He recently insisted that he would not step down for anyone and would vie as an independent candidate if the party denied him the ticket.

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