Pick Six: NFL Week 4 winners and losers, plus grades for every team and Falcons-Saints picks
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First, I’d like to apologize. The NFL had its first Cat Bowl on Sunday, and I didn’t mention it a single time in either of last week’s newsletters. The internet was basically invented for three things and one of them is talking about cats, so I fumbled the ball here. Anyway, Week 4 marked the first time in NFL history that the four cat teams faced off on the same day:
I’m now rooting for an all-cat Super Bowl, and if that happens, I promise I will give you all the cat information you can handle in the lead-up to the game. Unfortunately, we are NOT going to be talking anymore about cats in today’s newsletter, but we do have a lot to cover, so let’s get to the rundown.
There were 16 games on the schedule in Week 4. I graded them all. I’m only pointing that out because this will be the last time for several weeks that we’ll get a full 16-game slate. We’re getting into “bye” season and that will be starting in Week 5 with the Chiefs and Panthers getting the week off.
The Chiefs’ final game before their bye was a wild one over the Raiders, and that’s where we’re going to start our grades today.
As for the other 26 grades that we handed out so far in Week 4, you can check those out by clicking here.
You can’t have a week of NFL action without having winners and losers, so we have some winners and losers. Carter Bahns came up with this week’s list, and we’re going to check out his losers below. At the top of our losers’ list is an Eagles offense that looks like it’s falling apart.
Everyone on the internet loves to overreact to things, and that’s especially true when we’re talking about the NFL. Personally, I overreact to everything. With that in mind, Zach Pereles decided to take a look at several things that happened during Week 4 to decide if we’re all overreacting.
Statement: The Rams shouldn’t be Super Bowl favorites.Overreaction or reality: Overreaction. There are two ways to view the Rams’ 24-20 win over the injury-ravaged Eagles: “Wow, that was super unimpressive” or “Wow, that was an impressive comeback.” It can be both. Los Angeles struggling to beat a Philadelphia team without DeVonta Smith, Saquon Barkley, Quinyon Mitchell, Zack Baun, Lane Johnson, Landon Dickerson and others was a bad look … for 52-plus minutes. The score will lie about who dominated this game. The Rams had 415 yards of offense and averaged 5.4 yards per play, compared to 172 yards and 3.0 yards per play for Philadelphia. The Rams committed some horrible turnovers and penalties, but on a play-by-play basis, they were far superior. This was a crucial, crucial win, and one that should only prove Los Angeles can win when so much goes wrong.
Statement: The Cowboys will win the NFC East.Overreaction or reality: Reality. Speaking of important wins, the Cowboys just got their most important since the 2023 season: Dallas 34, Houston 30. This is a game the Cowboys needed to win, and they found a way to do so. Looking around the division, the Eagles’ offense remains a mess, the Giants are 3-1 but not likely to threaten with Jameis Winston under center, and the Commanders are in a world of trouble. Simply put, Dallas, with a defense that should only improve and an offense that can go toe-to-toe with any, should win this division.
Statement: Ben Johnson will win Coach of the Year. Overreaction or reality: Overreaction. Ben Johnson should be the frontrunner for Coach of the Year. He’s now won games with Caleb Williams, Tyson Bagent and Case Keenum … and it’s only Week 4! According to CBS Sports research, only one other team has had three different quarterbacks throw for 200+ yards in a win through four weeks: the 1997 Jaguars. Unfortunately for Johnson’s Coach of the Year candidacy, the award tends to go to a coach whose team way overachieves. Basically, the external preseason expectations were likely too high for Johnson and the Bears for him to win the award this year, even if you could argue he’s been the best coach in the sport so far.
There are plenty more overreactions and you can check them out here.
Every Sunday night, I get an email from our research department here at CBS Sports, and every Sunday, that email always includes some crazy stats about the games that were just played.
With that in mind, here are 11 crazy stats from Week 4:
If you see any other fun facts, feel free to tweet them at me.
Twenty years ago, the SuperDome reopened after Hurricane Katrina with a Monday night game between the Falcons and Saints. The NFL is celebrating the anniversary by having the two teams go at it again tonight.
This game will come with some high stakes because the winner will move into a first-place tie with the Panthers in the NFC South.
Here’s one reason why each team should be feeling confident going into the game:
You can get a full preview of the game from Jared Dubin by clicking here.
If you’re thinking about betting on the game, here are a couple of props.
If you’re wondering how my props are doing this year, I’m 5-9 (2-5 on kicker props and 3-4 on all other props). After starting off 5-3, I’m not 0-6 on my last six props. This is clearly a sign that you should do the opposite of whatever I predict.
Jared Dubin’s pick: Saints 28-20 over FalconsJordan Dajani’s pick: Saints 23-20 over FalconsJohn Breech’s pick: Falcons 26-23 over SaintsTyler Sullivan’s pick: Falcons 26-24 over SaintsPrisco’s pick: Falcons 33-30 over Saints
Over on our CBSSports.com picks page, our seven experts are split with four taking the Falcons to win and three taking the Saints.
It’s been a busy few days around the NFL, and since it’s nearly impossible to keep track of everything, I put together a quick roundup for you.
Reported by cbssports.com.
Read Original Report at cbssports.com ↗
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