{"id":264649,"date":"2024-12-13T01:49:30","date_gmt":"2024-12-13T01:49:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ghanamma.com\/2024\/12\/13\/why-ghanas-election-matters-across-africa\/"},"modified":"2024-12-13T01:49:30","modified_gmt":"2024-12-13T01:49:30","slug":"why-ghanas-election-matters-across-africa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ghanamma.com\/2024\/12\/13\/why-ghanas-election-matters-across-africa\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Ghana’s Election Matters Across Africa"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n

\n

By Azu Ishiekwene<\/p>\n

The writer is Editor-In-Chief of LEADERSHIP and author of the new <\/em>book Writing for Media and Monetising It.<\/em><\/p>\n

ABUJA, Nigeria | 12 December 2024 (IDN) \u2014 The news from Ghana was not how John Dramani Mahama\u2019s opposition party, the National Democratic Congress (NDC), defeated Nana Akufo-Addo\u2019s ruling New Patriotic Party (NPP).<\/p>\n

The news was how Akufo-Addo managed to survive a full second term. Towards the end of his first and for much of his second term in office, he governed with his head on the block, just waiting for the axe to fall.<\/p>\n

His party\u2019s loss in the December 7 presidential election was a defeat foretold. It was barely two years after Akufo-Addo assumed office in 2017 when doubts about his party\u2019s viability began to surface. It shouldn\u2019t have been so.<\/p>\n

His predecessor, the John Atta-Mills\/Dramani government, made such a mess. Apart from divisions within the NDC, it was further weakened by a series of serious corruption scandals, the most remarkable of which were the government\u2019s involvement in the transfer of $11 million and \u00a39 million paid by a party financier and a litany of failed promises.<\/p>\n

Dramani\u2019s loss to Akufo-Addo relieved the loser, who only managed to finish Atta-Mills\u2019 term after the latter died in office.<\/p>\n

Hero to zero<\/strong><\/h4>\n

As I wrote in a 2022 article, Akufo-Addo was off to a flying start. From New York to Beijing and Paris, he became the new face of the African Renaissance, saying the right things wherever he went on the global stage and raising a $3 billion Eurobond for Ghana\u2019s restructuring that overperformed its order book by $21 billion.<\/p>\n

Despite his best efforts, COVID-19 and the Russia-Ukraine War put Ghana in a tight spot. The country\u2019s predicament was worsened by poor fiscal discipline, unstable commodity prices, and a capitulation to pressure from Labour to increase public sector wages to unsustainable levels.<\/p>\n

Akufo-Addo\u2019s party paid upfront for the country\u2019s misery. Multiple protests rocked the streets of Accra and other major capitals, and voters couldn\u2019t wait to bury the NPP with any remaining claims of good deeds at the polls.<\/p>\n

Beyond elections<\/strong><\/h4>\n

However, the election meant something more for the subregion than about angry and tired Ghanaian voters removing an incumbent government.<\/p>\n

In the last four years, the subregion has been plagued by military coups reminiscent of a bygone era. Mali, Niger, Guinea and Burkina Faso have formed an arc of Delinquent States, with three of them sundering the decades-old Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) by creating a parallel Alliance for Sahelian States in defiance of the regional powerhouses and even the AU.<\/p>\n

Successful elections and transitions in Liberia, Sierra Leone, Senegal, Nigeria, and Ghana have offered a counter-narrative. It\u2019s all the more heartening that the ruling party\u2019s candidate in the election, Vice President Mahamudu Bawumia, did not wait for the official result before conceding defeat, reinforcing a trend started in 2015 by Nigeria\u2019s former President Goodluck Jonathan.<\/p>\n

Job for powerhouses<\/strong><\/h4>\n

The successful transition is good news for regional economic stability. Although the four break-away states constitute half of the ECOWAS area and only seven percent of economic activity within the zone, the economic sanctions imposed on them by the subregional group impacted swathes of the primarily poor populations across the region, where informal cross-border trade, mainly in food, make up about 30 percent of regional trade.<\/p>\n

Stable transitions in Ghana and Nigeria, the region\u2019s two economic powerhouses, would allow ECOWAS to reassess its options \u2013 a significant point in the agenda as the sub-regional group meets in Nigeria\u2019s capital, Abuja, this week.<\/p>\n

Delinquent Four on the agenda<\/strong><\/h4>\n

Should ECOWAS continue to engage the breakaway states in its efforts at faster regional integration, especially in light of the fragile relations between these states and France, in an era where Russia and China are lurking and the US is self-absorbed? Or has the time come for the group to chart a new course and accept a future without the four breakaway states?<\/p>\n

That would not only be an economic decision. It also carries significance for subregional security. Burkina Faso and Mali are out of the ECOWAS multinational joint task force. Protracted or failed elections in Ghana would have further weakened the group\u2019s crisis response mechanism at a time when Nigerian military authorities are grappling with new security threats from Lakurawa, an ISIS franchise.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s unlikely that the new government in Accra, on the watch of Mahama, one of the mediators during the post-election dispute in The Gambia in 2016, would depart significantly from the leading role that Ghana has played in subregional peace support operations, which goes back to its role in ECOMOG in the 1990s.<\/p>\n

Go to court!<\/strong><\/h4>\n

At a more granular level, there are other reasons why Ghana\u2019s election matters, especially in relations between Abuja and Accra. Already, the commentariat in Nigeria is holding up Ghana\u2019s election as a model for the election management body in Nigeria. Apart from former President Jonathan\u2019s pre-emptive concession of defeat nine years ago, Nigeria is perhaps the continent\u2019s capital of disputed elections.<\/p>\n

Of course, Nigeria\u2019s election management body needs to raise its game. Fundamentally, however, the chaos reflects the winner-takes-all mentality among Nigeria\u2019s political elite, which has increasingly seduced the courts to decide elections. Often, when Nigerian politicians taunt their opponent to \u201cgo to court\u201d after an election, they are confident of a favourable outcome.<\/p>\n

Ghanaian Jollof<\/strong><\/h4>\n

Nigerians also envy Ghana\u2019s rise as the new destination for big business, a prospect that could only have been enhanced by the smooth election. Despite Ghana\u2019s economic crisis, Nigeria has lost several fintech and manufacturing companies to its western neighbour in the last three years.<\/p>\n

Guinness, for example, has moved its operational headquarters to Accra, while others, such as Afprint, President Industries and Aswani \u2013 all in the textile sector \u2013 are reportedly contemplating relocation. Because of Ghana\u2019s stable and predictable political environment, tech giants, including Google, X (formerly Twitter), and Facebook, have not hidden their preference for it despite Nigeria\u2019s significant market size.<\/p>\n

Whether, apart from its business attraction, Ghanaian jollof would also best Nigeria\u2019s jollof in the unending cuisine war between both countries in the next four years under Mahama remains to be seen.<\/p>\n

Voters\u2019 psyche <\/strong><\/h4>\n

If there\u2019s anything that the outcome of Ghana\u2019s election teaches, even beyond the subregion, it is that voters don\u2019t forgive politicians who leave them feeling worse off. You may have saved them from COVID-19, the fallouts of global conflicts elsewhere, or the headwinds afterwards. However, what weighs on their mind when they cast their ballot is whether they\u2019re feeling better off today.<\/p>\n

That was why Rishi Sunak lost to Keir Starmer in Britain, and Vice President Kamala Harris lost to Donald Trump in the US. It was also why Akufo-Addo survived his second term by the skin of his teeth but failed to hand over the baton to his deputy in Ghana. [IDN-InDepthNews]<\/p>\n

Photo source: Official account of John Dramani Mahama, President-Elect, Republic of Ghana.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

By Azu Ishiekwene The writer is Editor-In-Chief of LEADERSHIP and author of the new book Writing for Media and Monetising It. ABUJA, Nigeria | 12 December 2024 (IDN) \u2014 The news from Ghana was not how John Dramani Mahama\u2019s opposition party, the National Democratic Congress (NDC), defeated Nana Akufo-Addo\u2019s ruling New Patriotic Party (NPP). 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