<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
Those who refuse to yield to either of the two political ideological orientations find solace under the \u201cindependent\u201d tag.<\/p>\n
Despite Yakubu and Asiamah Amoako being the only ones to have scraped through as independent candidates, many still find the path worthy to chart in their political ambitions.<\/p>\n
For the majority, they have only succeeded in breaking the ranks of a party\u2019s support base, and disrupted the chances of major candidates. In effect, independent candidates emerging from the bigger parties limit their parties\u2019 chances of securing the relevant seat.<\/p>\n
For the 2024 general election, the Electoral Commission (EC) has recorded 111 independent candidates, including even in Volta and Ashanti regions, the respective strongholds of the National Democratic Congress (NDC) and the New Patriotic Party (NPP).<\/p>\n
Analysts<\/h2>\n
But Political Science lecturer at the University of Education, Winneba (UEW), Gilbert Arhinful Aidoo, said independent candidates in the 2024 general election \u201cmay have significant, though variable, influence depending on local dynamics and voters\u2019 appetite for change\u201d.<\/p>\n
He told the\u00a0 Daily<\/span> Graphic that regardless of the NPP and the NDC\u2019s dominance, growing dissatisfaction with those parties could open the door for independent candidates, especially in specific constituencies.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
\u201cIn the 2020 elections, some independent candidates, like Andrew Amoako Asiamah in Fomena, made a notable impact by unseating major party candidates and later playing a key role in the balance of power in the Eighth Parliament.<\/p>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
\u201cSeveral factors may influence independent candidates\u2019 role on December 7. First, voter dissatisfaction with the main political parties owing to the excruciating poverty and rising cost of living, poor handling of internal party wranglings, economic challenges, and unfulfilled promises could lead some to seek alternatives. Independent candidates who offer localised, issue-based solutions may attract disillusioned voters.<\/p>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
\u201cSecondly, independent candidates with strong personal brands or proven community service records may capitalise on internal divisions or unpopular candidates within the major parties, increasing their chances of success,\u201d the lecturer said.<\/p>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
Mr Arhinful Aidoo added that strategic voting would also be crucial, especially if this year\u2019s election results produce another close contest in Parliament.<\/p>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
\u201cIn such a context, independent members may become key power brokers, forming alliances or negotiating for concessions to benefit their constituencies.<\/p>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
Furthermore, while independent candidates may face challenges in campaign financing compared to the well-resourced NPP and NDC, grassroots mobilisation and strong community ties can help them overcome these obstacles,\u201d the academic explained.<\/p>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
He said if neither the NPP nor the NDC secured a clear parliamentary majority, independents could once again play a decisive role, acting as mediators and balancing the polarised political landscape.<\/p>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
\u201cTheir ability to align flexibly with either side on specific issues could make them influential in shaping policies. Although the road ahead is challenging, they possess the potential to shape Ghana\u2019s political future, particularly if the country\u2019s political landscape remains competitive and divided.<\/p>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
\u201cIn a polarised and competitive political landscape, independent candidates may be pivotal players in shaping the governance process,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
\u201cIn a polarised and competitive political landscape, independent candidates may be pivotal players in shaping the governance process,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
Significant impact<\/h2>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
The Head of Global InfoAnalytics, Mussa Dankwah, said in regions where a party remained very dominant, for example, in the Ashanti and the Eastern for the NPP, and the Volta for the NDC, \u201cit is unlikely that independent candidates will make a significant impact\u201d.<\/p>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
\u201cHowever, in the regions and specific constituencies where the race is keenly contested, the independent candidates are likely to have a significant impact. If a party’s front is divided, it may allow the party that places second to overtake and win the race.<\/p>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
\u201cIn the swing constituencies, if they have independent candidates, it could lead to seats flipping to the ruling government or the opposition.<\/p>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
We expect few independent candidates to win some seats, noticeable from the Bono Region and Ashanti Region, but we don’t expect them to hold a balance of power because the next Parliament will not be like the current one,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
Mr Dankwah, who had run polls on the 2024 elections, said data from the October 2024 poll showed the regions with a high proportion of voters who wanted to vote for other parties or independent parliamentary candidates other than from the NPP and the NDC, had the Eastern and the Volta regions leading the pack with 13 per cent each.<\/p>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
Central Region had 10 per cent, Ashanti Region had eight per cent, Western Region had six per cent, and Greater Accra had five per cent.<\/p>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
Partisanship<\/h2>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
The Senior Programmes Officer of Parliamentary Network Africa, Benjamin Opoku Aryeh, said despite the increasing partisanship in Ghana’s political landscape, political parties still remained the most effective vehicles for achieving political goals.<\/p>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
\u201cFor an independent candidate to make a significant impact, they must develop a formidable political structure, use media strategically, and effectively communicate their value proposition to voters.<\/p>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
This requires convincing the electorate (about) why they are a better alternative to the major parties,\u201d he said in an interview.<\/p>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
Mr Opoku Aryeh said while independent candidates might not drastically alter the presidential race, they could become crucial power brokers in Parliament, especially if no party secured a clear majority, as was seen in the 2020 elections.<\/p>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
\u201cIn such scenarios, independents may hold the balance of power and be courted by the NPP or the NDC to form coalitions, thus influencing policy direction and governance,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
\u201cIndependent candidates may face significant barriers but have the potential to disrupt established political competition, forcing major parties to adjust their strategies.<\/p>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
Although they are less likely to win presidential elections, their presence can influence electoral outcomes, pushing the presidential election into a run-off and influencing parliamentary outcomes and, in some cases, even become critical in forming a caucus that determines the balance of power in Parliament,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
Mr Opoku Aryeh said at the local level, independent parliamentary candidates were more embedded in the identity of grassroots communities, making them key figures in certain constituencies.<\/p>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
\u201cAlthough their national performance may appear limited, independent candidates can still influence outcomes in specific regions of Ghana where voters may prioritise local development over party loyalty.<\/p>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
\u201cFor instance, an independent candidate is more likely to perform well if they have a strong personal following or are widely respected within their community. Factors such as incumbency, popularity, and charisma play a crucial role in determining the success of these candidates,\u201d he argued.<\/p>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
\nInternal threats<\/h2>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
Emeritus Professor of Politics at the London Metropolitan University in the United Kingdom (UK), Prof. Jeffery Haynes, said independent candidates emerging from one of the two major parties would end up ruining the party\u2019s chances for a parliamentary seat.<\/p>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
He cited the case of the NPP\u2019s Agona West Member of Parliament (MP), Cynthia Morrison, and Suhum MP, Kwadwo Asante, and the NDC MP for Amenfi Central, Peter Yaw Kwakye-Ackah, announcing intentions to go independent after losing their respective parties parliamentary primaries.<\/p>\n
\n
<\/p>\n
\u201cHaving some high-profile members and parliamentary candidates running in opposition to official NPP candidates poses a significant threat to the party\u2019s hopes of securing a comfortable majority in the next Parliament, as there is a chance that in at least some constituencies, the NPP vote will be split, allowing the NDC candidates to prosper,\u201d Prof. Haynes said.<\/p>\n
<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Ghana\u2019s political landscape has hardly been kind to independent candidates in both presidential and parliamentary elections, but this has not dimmed the ambitions of such non-aligned political adventurers. Across the eight elections of the Fourth Republic, for instance, only Hawa Yakubu in 1993 and Andrew Asiamah Amoako in 2021 made it into Parliament as independent […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":236007,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-236006","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-top-news"],"yoast_head":"\n
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