{"id":195351,"date":"2024-07-01T16:21:09","date_gmt":"2024-07-01T16:21:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ghanamma.com\/2024\/07\/01\/imf-warns-of-downside-risks-including-those-related-to-2024-general-elections\/"},"modified":"2024-07-01T16:21:09","modified_gmt":"2024-07-01T16:21:09","slug":"imf-warns-of-downside-risks-including-those-related-to-2024-general-elections","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ghanamma.com\/2024\/07\/01\/imf-warns-of-downside-risks-including-those-related-to-2024-general-elections\/","title":{"rendered":"IMF warns of downside risks including those\u00a0related to 2024 general elections \u2013"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<div>\n<p>The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has said that Ghana\u2019s economic reform programme is delivering on its objectives.<\/p>\n<p>Following acute economic and financial pressures in 2022, the IMF said its supported programme\u00a0had\u00a0provided a credible anchor for the government to adjust macroeconomic policies and implement reforms to restore macroeconomic stability and debt sustainability, while laying the foundations for higher and more inclusive growth.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThese efforts are paying off, with growth proving more resilient than initially expected, inflation declining at a faster pace, and the fiscal and external positions improving.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe medium-term outlook remains favorable but subject to downside risks\u2014including those\u00a0related to the upcoming general elections,\u201d\u00a0the IMF said while announcing the approval of the 2nd review by the Board, paving the way for the release of the $ 360 million third tranche.<\/p>\n<p>Below is the full statement\u2026<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">IMF Executive Board Completes the Second Review under the Extended Credit Facility Arrangement with Ghana<\/h2>\n<p>June 28, 2024<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The IMF Executive Board today completed the second review of Ghana\u2019s 36-month Extended Credit Facility Arrangement. This allows for the immediate disbursement of SDR 269.1 million (about US$360 million).<\/li>\n<li>Ghana\u2019s performance under the program has been generally strong. All quantitative performance criteria for the second review and almost all indicative targets were met. Good progress is being made on the debt restructuring, and key structural reforms are advancing.<\/li>\n<li>The authorities\u2019 reform efforts are paying off. Growth has proven more resilient than expected, inflation has declined rapidly from its 2022 highs, and the fiscal and external positions have improved significantly.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Washington,\u00a0DC:<\/strong>\u00a0The Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) completed today the\u00a0second\u00a0review of\u00a0Ghana\u2019s\u00a0US$3 billion, 36-month\u202fExtended Credit Facility\u00a0(ECF)\u00a0Arrangement, which was approved\u00a0by the Board\u00a0in May 2023.\u00a0Completion of the\u00a0second\u00a0ECF review allows for an immediate disbursement of\u00a0SDR\u202f269.1\u00a0million (about US$360 million), bringing Ghana\u2019s total disbursements under the arrangement to about US$1.6\u00a0billion.<\/p>\n<p>Ghana\u2019s economic reform program is delivering on its objectives. Following acute economic and financial pressures in 2022, the Fund-supported program\u00a0has\u00a0provided a credible anchor for the government to adjust macroeconomic policies and implement reforms to restore macroeconomic stability and debt sustainability, while laying the foundations for higher and more inclusive growth.<\/p>\n<p>These efforts are paying off, with growth proving more resilient than initially expected, inflation declining at a faster pace, and the fiscal and external positions improving.\u00a0The medium-term outlook\u00a0remains\u00a0favorable but subject to downside risks\u2014including those\u00a0related to the upcoming general elections.<\/p>\n<p>Ghana\u2019s performance under the IMF-supported program has been generally strong. All quantitative performance criteria for the second review and almost all indicative targets were met. Good progress has also been made on the key structural reform milestones, despite some delays.<\/p>\n<p>The Ghanaian authorities have also continued to make progress on their comprehensive debt restructuring.\u00a0On June 11, 2024, the authorities reached\u00a0agreement\u00a0with Ghana\u2019s Official Creditor Committee (OCC) under the G20\u2019s Common Framework on a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) formalizing the agreement in principle on a debt treatment, which was\u00a0reached\u00a0in\u00a0January 2024. This agreement on a debt treatment, consistent with program parameters, provided the financing assurances necessary for the second review under the ECF Arrangement to be completed. The authorities have also recently reached agreement in principle with representatives of Eurobond holders on a restructuring consistent with program parameters, subject to confirmation on comparability of treatment by the OCC.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Ghana\u2019s primary fiscal balance improved by over 4 percent of GDP last year. Looking ahead, the authorities are committed to further advancing fiscal consolidation, including by achieving primary fiscal surpluses of \u00bd percent of GDP this year and 1\u00bd percent of GDP in 2025. These efforts are underpinned by reforms to bolster revenue mobilization and streamline non-priority expenditures, while expanding social protection programs to mitigate the impact of fiscal adjustment on the most vulnerable. The authorities are also taking steps to strengthen tax administration, expenditure controls and management of arrears, fiscal rules and institutions, and SOEs management\u2014including in the energy and cocoa sectors.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The Bank of Ghana (BoG) has maintained a prudent monetary policy stance to sustain a rapid reduction in inflation and has taken steps to rebuild international reserves. The BoG has also appropriately strengthened measures to preserve financial sector stability\u2014including by ensuring implementation of banks\u2019 recapitalization plans\u2014while the Ministry of Finance has started recapitalizing state-owned banks consistent with available resources.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Ambitious structural reforms to help create an environment more conducive to private sector investment, and to enhance governance and transparency are gaining prominence and will be key to boosting the economy\u2019s potential and underpin sustainable job creation.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Looking ahead, sustaining macroeconomic policy adjustment and reforms is essential to fully and durably restore macroeconomic stability and debt sustainability\u2014especially during the upcoming electoral period\u2014while fostering a sustainable increase in economic growth and poverty reduction.<\/p>\n<p>Following the Executive Board discussion on Ghana, Deputy Managing Director Kenji Okamura issued the following statement:<\/p>\n<p>\u201cGhana\u2019s performance under its ECF-supported reform program has been generally strong. The authorities\u2019 strategy aimed at restoring macroeconomic stability and reducing debt vulnerabilities is paying off, with clear signs of stabilization emerging. Going forward, perseverance in macroeconomic policy adjustment and reforms is essential to fully restore macroeconomic stability and debt sustainability, while fostering a sustainable increase in economic growth and poverty reduction.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Ghana has made progress adjusting its fiscal position. Looking ahead, attaining the fiscal objectives under the Fund-supported program requires further mobilizing domestic revenue, streamlining public spending\u2014including related to externally-funded expenditures, and finalizing Ghana\u2019s comprehensive debt restructuring. The authorities\u2019 strong debt restructuring efforts are paying off with the reaching of agreement on a Memorandum of Understanding with the Official Creditor Committee and an Agreement in Principle with bondholders. Resolve in keeping the domestic revenue mobilization agenda on track and tightening expenditure commitment controls is critical to avoid policy slippages ahead of the December 2024 general elections. These efforts should be supported by continued progress in improving tax administration, strengthening expenditure control and management of arrears, enhancing fiscal rules and institutions, and improving SOEs management. Bolstering targeted social protection programs is needed to cushion the vulnerable from the impact of fiscal adjustment.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The authorities took decisive steps to contain inflation and rebuild foreign reserve buffers. Going forward, maintaining an appropriately tight monetary stance, and enhancing exchange rate flexibility are of the essence, along with timely implementation of Fund\u2019s advice on safeguards.<\/p>\n<p>The authorities have taken appropriate actions to ensure implementation of banks\u2019 recapitalization plans and start recapitalizing state-owned banks. Sustaining these efforts, together with a cost-effective resolution of legacy issues, are essential to ringfence financial sector stability going forward.<\/p>\n<p>Greater focus on reforms aimed at private sector development is needed to foster inclusive growth and poverty reduction. In this regard, a key step is to ensure that the policy interventions underpinning Ghana\u2019s National Development Policy Framework are recalibrated to reflect the socio-economic impact of the shocks that occurred after the COVID-19 pandemic.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><!-- CONTENT END 1 --><\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has said that Ghana\u2019s economic reform programme is delivering on its objectives. Following acute economic and financial pressures in 2022, the IMF said its supported programme\u00a0had\u00a0provided a credible anchor for the government to adjust macroeconomic policies and implement reforms to restore macroeconomic stability and debt sustainability, while laying the foundations [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":195352,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-195351","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-sports"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>IMF warns of downside risks including those\u00a0related to 2024 general elections \u2013 - Ghanamma.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ghanamma.com\/2024\/07\/01\/imf-warns-of-downside-risks-including-those-related-to-2024-general-elections\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"IMF warns of downside risks including those\u00a0related to 2024 general elections \u2013 - Ghanamma.com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has said that Ghana\u2019s economic reform programme is delivering on its objectives. 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