{"id":156917,"date":"2024-02-28T15:47:58","date_gmt":"2024-02-28T15:47:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ghanamma.com\/2024\/02\/28\/how-every-premier-league-club-ranks-for-xg-against-in-2024-arsenal-way-ahead\/"},"modified":"2024-02-28T15:47:58","modified_gmt":"2024-02-28T15:47:58","slug":"how-every-premier-league-club-ranks-for-xg-against-in-2024-arsenal-way-ahead","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ghanamma.com\/2024\/02\/28\/how-every-premier-league-club-ranks-for-xg-against-in-2024-arsenal-way-ahead\/","title":{"rendered":"How every Premier League club ranks for xG against in 2024 \u2013 Arsenal way ahead \u2013"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n

\n

Mikel Arteta has never hid his ambitions for Arsenal this season.<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cSuffocating the opponent more,\u201d he explained when quizzed on his side\u2019s strategy this term. \u201cConceding zero chances and play further from our goal.\u201d<\/p>\n

Arsenal\u2019s backline has been imperious throughout the campaign but clicked into a different gear at the turn of the year. Arteta\u2019s side were slumped in fourth place after a chastening loss to Fulham on New Year\u2019s Eve but have reignited a rare three-horse\u00a0title race\u00a0with a record-breaking sequence of six league victories on the spin. This is the best start Arsenal have made to any calendar year since the club\u2019s foundation in 1886.<\/p>\n

While much of the focus has been stolen by the 25 goals in six games a fully-firing frontline has scored this year, the rearguard has been even more impressive.<\/p>\n

\n

How Arsenal\u2019s defensive stats compare to the rest of the Premier League in 2024<\/h2>\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n

Mikel Arteta demonstrating the gap between Arsenal and their nearest challengers when it comes to defensive statistics \/ Julian Finney\/GettyImages<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n
Rank<\/strong><\/th>\nTeam<\/strong><\/th>\nPlayed<\/strong><\/th>\nGoals against<\/strong><\/th>\nxG against<\/strong><\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
1.<\/td>\nArsenal<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n3<\/td>\n1.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n

Data from Opta (via\u00a0The Athletic).<\/em><\/p>\n

All an expected goal (xG) model does is provide an estimate of the chance of scoring from each shot. A wide range of criteria \u2013 position on the pitch, which body part was used and so forth \u2013 for every attempt is compared to thousands of past efforts to provide a value between zero and one which represents the likelihood of scoring.<\/p>\n

As each shot is unique and the probability spat out is only an estimate, xG works best in the aggregate, when lots of shots are analysed over a long period of time. However, the yawning chasm between Arsenal\u2019s figures and those posted by the rest of the Premier League stretches beyond the small sample size.<\/p>\n

Arsenal\u2019s miserly tally of 1.9 xG conceded across six matches is three-and-a-half times smaller than the figure recorded by Manchester City \u2013 the next-best backline. <\/p>\n

This calendar year alone, there have been 37 occasions when a team has exceeded that value in the space of one match.<\/p>\n

David Raya has endured a below-par shot-stopping season during his debut campaign in north London and conceded three times when an average goalkeeper would only be expected to let in two goals this year. But those in front of him have done their utmost to limit the amount of work Raya has to get through in each game.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n

David Raya (left) has not been the defining factor behind Arsenal\u2019s excellent defensive record \/ Julian Finney\/GettyImages<\/p>\n

Not every Premier League keeper is so fortunate. Manchester United, for comparison, have conceded at least 16 shots in each of their six Premier League matches in 2024. Arsenal have not shipped more than 15 efforts in a single league game this season.<\/p>\n

While the ever-present defensive core of Gabriel, William Saliba and Ben White are owed plenty of credit, the entire Arsenal team has contributed to their exemplary parsimony.<\/p>\n

Johan Cruyff used to say that the striker was the first defender in his team. Arteta \u2013 who credits Cruyff as the figure that made him fall in love with football as a boy gripped by the Dutchman\u2019s\u00a0Barcelona \u2018Dream Team\u2019\u00a0\u2013 has adopted the same approach.<\/p>\n

Arsenal\u2019s blistering and brilliantly coordinated press pins opponents into their defensive third. Never was this ferocious focus more evident than in the club\u2019s\u00a04-1 evisceration\u00a0of Newcastle United last Saturday. The Gunners won possession in the final third 11 times and denied the Magpies a single shot inside the opening 45 minutes. No wonder Martin Odegaard was beaming after a comprehensive victory: \u201cWe are living the dream.\u201d<\/p>\n

\n

How the rest of the Premier League xG conceded table looks<\/h2>\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n

The tide has turned against Eddie Howe\u2019s Newcastle United \/ Justin Setterfield\/GettyImages<\/p>\n

Arsenal\u2019s dominance is put into greater perspective when you consider the performance of every other Premier League club in 2024.<\/p>\n

Manchester City rank second for xG against, totalling 6.8 from the seven games they\u2019ve played this year, with Everton, Brighton and Tottenham Hotspur rounding out the top five.<\/p>\n

Things don\u2019t make for great reading at\u00a0Manchester United, though their actual goals against is better than what they are predicted to have conceded, and Aston Villa can perhaps count their lucky stars for shipping just eight goals against an expected xG of 11.2.<\/p>\n

Bringing up the rear are Brentford and West Ham United, who played out a six-goal thriller at London Stadium on Monday, and Newcastle United, who comfortably have the worst expected xG of any side in the division.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Rank<\/strong><\/th>\nTeam<\/strong><\/th>\nPlayed<\/strong><\/th>\nGoals against<\/strong><\/th>\nxG against<\/strong><\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
2.<\/td>\nMan City<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n5<\/td>\n6.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3.<\/td>\nEverton<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n7.7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
4.<\/td>\nBrighton<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n7.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
5.<\/td>\nTottenham<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n8.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
6.<\/td>\nNottingham Forest<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n13<\/td>\n8.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
7.<\/td>\nCrystal Palace<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n15<\/td>\n8.7<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
8.<\/td>\nBournemouth<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n12<\/td>\n8.9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
9.<\/td>\nChelsea<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n9.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
10.<\/td>\nLiverpool<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n10.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
11.<\/td>\nWolves<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n10.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
12.<\/td>\nMan Utd<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n10.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
13.<\/td>\nAston Villa<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n11.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14.<\/td>\nFulham<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n11.3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15.<\/td>\nSheff Utd<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n17<\/td>\n11.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16.<\/td>\nBurnley<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n17<\/td>\n11.8<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17.<\/td>\nLuton<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n14<\/td>\n12.6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
18.<\/td>\nBrentford<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n16<\/td>\n14.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
19.<\/td>\nWest Ham<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n17<\/td>\n14.4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20.<\/td>\nNewcastle<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n20.5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n
\n

Arsenal\u2019s Premier League results in 2024<\/h2>\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n

William Saliba (left) and Ben White have been rock solid as ever \/ Justin Setterfield\/GettyImages<\/p>\n

Data from Opta (via\u00a0<\/em>FBref<\/em>)<\/em><\/p>\n

Arsenal are the only team yet to trail in any Premier League game this year. The contrast to the club\u2019s final fixture of 2023 could not be more stark. After a bleak 2-1 loss to Fulham, Arteta admitted that it was a \u201creally tough\u201d, \u201csad\u201d and \u201cdifficult day to swallow\u201d.<\/p>\n

The Gunners have enjoyed a relatively gentle start to the new year in terms of fixtures; going up against relegation-threatened Burnley and Nottingham Forest (though both were away from home) while also facing capital rivals West Ham United and Crystal Palace during a considerable dip in form for each club.<\/p>\n

However, this winning sequence also included the visit of league leaders Liverpool, who were limited to just a single shot on target and only equalised courtesy of a\u00a0bizarre own goal from Gabriel.<\/p>\n

With rock-bottom Sheffield United and an out-of-sorts Brentford side Arsenal\u2019s next two opponents, the Gunners may not concede many more chances in the weeks to come.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Date<\/strong><\/th>\nResult<\/strong><\/th>\nxG against<\/strong><\/th>\nShots against<\/strong><\/th>\nShots on target against<\/strong><\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
20\/01\/24<\/td>\nArsenal 5-0 Crystal Palace<\/td>\n0.3<\/td>\n12<\/td>\n5<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
30\/01\/24<\/td>\nNottingham Forest 1-2 Arsenal<\/td>\n0.5<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
04\/02\/24<\/td>\nArsenal 3-1 Liverpool<\/td>\n0.4<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
11\/02\/24<\/td>\nWest Ham 0-6 Arsenal<\/td>\n0.2<\/td>\n5<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17\/02\/24<\/td>\nBurnley 0-5 Arsenal<\/td>\n0.3<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
24\/02\/24<\/td>\nArsenal 4-1 Newcastle<\/td>\n0.2<\/td>\n3<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n
\n

<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Mikel Arteta has never hid his ambitions for Arsenal this season. \u201cSuffocating the opponent more,\u201d he explained when quizzed on his side\u2019s strategy this term. \u201cConceding zero chances and play further from our goal.\u201d Arsenal\u2019s backline has been imperious throughout the campaign but clicked into a different gear at the turn of the year. Arteta\u2019s […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":156918,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-156917","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-sports"],"yoast_head":"\nHow every Premier League club ranks for xG against in 2024 \u2013 Arsenal way ahead \u2013 - Ghanamma.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ghanamma.com\/2024\/02\/28\/how-every-premier-league-club-ranks-for-xg-against-in-2024-arsenal-way-ahead\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"How every Premier League club ranks for xG against in 2024 \u2013 Arsenal way ahead \u2013 - Ghanamma.com\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Mikel Arteta has never hid his ambitions for Arsenal this season. \u201cSuffocating the opponent more,\u201d he explained when quizzed on his side\u2019s strategy this term. \u201cConceding zero chances and play further from our goal.\u201d Arsenal\u2019s backline has been imperious throughout the campaign but clicked into a different gear at the turn of the year. 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