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The recent improvement in the value of the Ghana cedi against the US dollar is expected to be sustained in the next couple of weeks, Lead Researcher at GCB Capital and a Currency Analyst, Courage Boti, has said.<\/p>\n
According to him, the recent depreciation of the cedi was largely due to speculation.<\/p>\n
\u201cI expect that this trend could continue until we get to the \u00a213 level and then that is when you will receive some sense of stability because the Bank of Ghana rate would become the floor or the lowest level. The thing really is that you don\u2019t want to see some volatility. I guess it might fall to the interbank rate now [\u00a213.001] and stabilise around that level\u201d.<\/p>\n
However, he thinks it is difficult to predict the end-year rate of the local currency to the dollar.<\/p>\n
The cedi traded at \u00a213.40 to the dollar yesterday, November 1, 2022.<\/p>\n
Mr. Boti told Joy Business despite the cedi\u2019s recent performance it is difficult to predict the outlook.<\/p>\n
\u201cI think it is quite unpredictable because we are still not out of the wounds yet. I think we are doing about 50% depreciation now and I see the cedi ending the year around that level. It shouldn\u2019t be significantly different from the \u00a213, the \u00a213.5 levels by end of year as things stand.<\/p>\n
\u201cThat\u2019s is for me to say that there could be some more appreciation to come in the next few weeks before stability\u201d, he stressed.<\/p>\n
According to him, if there is a reversal in trend, it should return to \u00a213.50 as things stand now.<\/p>\n
\u201cSo if there is a reversal in trend, it should go back to 13.50 as things stand now. But I must add cautiously that the trends and market dynamics are still very uncertain and it is very difficult to pinpoint the rate the cedi would end the year.<\/p>\n
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