Ghana will fail at the 2014 World Cup, global sports analysis firm predicts


Ghana will bomb out of the World Cup at the group stage in June and the Black Stars will finish at the bottom of Group G, a highly-respected global sports analysis firm has predicted.

Bloomberg Sports, a firm in Europe that provides the most accurate data-driven match analysis as well as projections and in-depth analysis for all the major leagues in Europe, says the World Cup in Brazil will be Ghana’s worst-ever showing in the global tournament.

They claim Ghana will finish 25th in the 32-team tournament which means it will be the Black Stars’ worst appearance at the World Cup. (See tables below)

They predict that Ghana will finish bottom of the Group of Death which includes USA, Germany and Portugal.

Their predictions are based on 100,000 simulations for every game throughout the tournament.

Based on that, Ghana are given the fourth-best chance to make it to the knock-out rounds in their group, though they are given a 27 percent chance to advance.

The Black Stars are given a 4.4 percent chance to make it to the semifinals, and a 0.4 percent chance of winning it all — not great odds, but not the longest among the field, either, as five teams have been given a 0.1 percent chance of winning the tournament.

They do not think the Black Stars will get out of the Group of Death, as Germany and Portugal will represent Group G in the knockout stages.

In fact, Bloomberg Sports says no African team to get out of their group, as both Nigeria and Ivory Coast have been given the low chances in their respective groups.

The same applies to Cameroon and Algeria.
In addition to Spain and Brazil, the projected semifinalists are Germany and Argentina, meaning there aren’t any real surprises by that stage of the competition.

The notable surprises, at least based on prior performances, are that Greece will advance from Group C, over Ivory Coast and Japan, and Uruguay, semifinalists in 2010, will not advance from Group D, with England and Italy progressing from that group.

Ghana have previously defied such predictions and were able to reach the knock-out phases of the 2006 and 2010 World Cups.

2014 FIFA World Cup Projections
BSports utilised its unparalleled data analytics technology to create its own World Cup projections, aimed at calculating the percentage probabilities for each country’s finish in the tournament.

#worldcup-2
World Cup Projections By Group
Group A ePts Round of 16 Quarter-finals Semi-finals Final Champs

Brazil 7.51 100.0% 72.5% 49.5% 31.7% 22.1%
Cameroon 2.15 18.1% 5.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Mexico 3.60 43.6% 19.2% 7.4% 2.8% 1.2%
Croatia 3.29 38.3% 14.1% 5.2% 1.4% 0.7%
Group B ePts Round of 16 Quarter-finals Semi-finals Final Champs

Spain 5.82 77.0% 46.8% 29.3% 16.9% 9.2%
Chile 3.90 48.0% 23.2% 10.8% 4.7% 1.9%
Australia 1.73 10.2% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Netherlands 4.98 64.8% 36.1% 20.3% 10.4% 5.0%

Group C ePts Round of 16 Quarter-finals Semi-finals Final Champs

Colombia 5.47 71.4% 40.5% 18.5% 10.3% 4.2%
Ivory Coast 3.21 36.1% 12.9% 4.9% 1.7% 0.6%

Japan 3.44 40.1% 16.8% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7%
Greece 4.20 52.3% 24.0% 9.7% 4.5% 1.5%
Group D ePts Round of 16 Quarter-finals Semi-finals Final Champs

Uruguay 4.84 62.1% 32.0% 15.8% 6.8% 2.9%
Italy 4.93 63.5% 32.6% 16.3% 8.2% 2.9%
Costa Rica 1.84 12.0% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
England 4.86 62.4% 31.6% 16.7% 7.8% 3.4%
Group E ePts Round of 16 Quarter-finals Semi-finals Final Champs

Switzerland 4.00 49.4% 20.2% 7.1% 2.4% 0.9%

Ecuador 3.90 47.8% 18.7% 6.1% 2.5% 0.7%
Honduras 2.66 26.9% 7.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2%
France 5.76 75.9% 39.8% 19.7% 9.1% 4.0%
Group F ePts Round of 16 Quarter-finals Semi-finals Final Champs

Argentina 7.03 93.8% 59.2% 36.7% 20.5% 11.4%

Nigeria 3.26 37.7% 13.8% 5.2% 1.7% 0.6%
Iran 2.52 24.7% 7.5% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 3.62 43.7% 16.4% 6.1% 2.2% 0.7%

Group G ePts Round of 16 Quarter-finals Semi-finals Final Champs

Germany 6.17 80.9% 52.6% 32.4% 19.4% 12.0%
Ghana 2.68 27.0% 11.7% 4.4% 1.2% 0.4%
United States 2.87 30.3% 12.8% 5.0% 1.6% 0.5%

Portugal 4.82 61.8% 35.0% 18.2% 8.7% 4.0%
Group H ePts Round of 16 Quarter-finals Semi-finals Final Champs

Belgium 6.33 84.2% 46.5% 25.4% 14.0% 6.3%
Algeria 2.60 26.1% 7.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
South Korea 3.11 34.9% 11.9% 3.4% 1.0% 0.1%

Russia 4.32 54.8% 23.6% 10.5% 3.6% 1.2%
World Cup Projections by Country
Country ePts Round of 16 Quarter-finals Semi-finals Final Champs

Brazil 7.51 100.0% 72.5% 49.5% 31.7% 22.1%
Germany 6.17 80.9% 52.6% 32.4% 19.4% 12.0%
Argentina 7.03 93.8% 59.2% 36.7% 20.5% 11.4%

Spain 5.82 77.0% 46.8% 29.3% 16.9% 9.2%
Belgium 6.33 84.2% 46.5% 25.4% 14.0% 6.3%
Netherlands 4.98 64.8% 36.1% 20.3% 10.4% 5.0%

Colombia 5.47 71.4% 40.5% 18.5% 10.3% 4.2%
Portugal 4.82 61.8% 35.0% 18.2% 8.7% 4.0%
France 5.76 75.9% 39.8% 19.7% 9.1% 4.0%
England 4.86 62.4% 31.6% 16.7% 7.8% 3.4%
Uruguay 4.84 62.1% 32.0% 15.8% 6.8% 2.9%
Italy 4.93 63.5% 32.6% 16.3% 8.2% 2.9%
Chile 3.90 48.0% 23.2% 10.8% 4.7% 1.9%
Greece 4.20 52.3% 24.0% 9.7% 4.5% 1.5%
Russia 4.32 54.8% 23.6% 10.5% 3.6% 1.2%
Mexico 3.60 43.6% 19.2% 7.4% 2.8% 1.2%
Switzerland 4.00 49.4% 20.2% 7.1% 2.4% 0.9%

Japan 3.44 40.1% 16.8% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7%
Croatia 3.29 38.3% 14.1% 5.2% 1.4% 0.7%
Ecuador 3.90 47.8% 18.7% 6.1% 2.5% 0.7%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 3.62 43.7% 16.4% 6.1% 2.2% 0.7%

Nigeria 3.26 37.7% 13.8% 5.2% 1.7% 0.6%
Ivory Coast 3.21 36.1% 12.9% 4.9% 1.7% 0.6%

United States 2.87 30.3% 12.8% 5.0% 1.6% 0.5%

Ghana 2.68 27.0% 11.7% 4.4% 1.2% 0.4%
Algeria 2.60 26.1% 7.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
Honduras 2.66 26.9% 7.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2%
South Korea 3.11 34.9% 11.9% 3.4% 1.0% 0.1%

Cameroon 2.15 18.1% 5.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Iran 2.52 24.7% 7.5% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Australia 1.73 10.2% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Costa Rica 1.84 12.0% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Do you think the predictions by Bloomberg are right? Make your views known in the box below:

For more Ghana football news visit www.ghanasoccernet.com

Comments:
This article has 0 comment, leave your comment.

Comments