{"id":346175,"date":"2011-03-29T04:03:33","date_gmt":"2011-03-29T04:03:33","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.ghanamma.net\/2011\/03\/29\/nigeria-survey-predicts-victory-for-jonathan\/"},"modified":"2011-03-29T04:03:33","modified_gmt":"2011-03-29T04:03:33","slug":"nigeria-survey-predicts-victory-for-jonathan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ghanamma.com\/2011\/03\/29\/nigeria-survey-predicts-victory-for-jonathan\/","title":{"rendered":"Nigeria: Survey Predicts Victory for Jonathan"},"content":{"rendered":"<div readability=\"132.56032781909\">\n<hr class=\"thin clear\" \/><!-- close google_banner_mid div ---><\/p>\n<hr class=\"thin clear\" \/>\n<p>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.thisdaylive.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.ghanamma.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/03\/cbde1a16thisday180.jpg\" alt=\"This Day (Lagos)\" title=\"Visit This Day (Lagos)\" \/><\/a>\n<\/p>\n<p><!-- begin story layout piece here --><\/p>\n<p>Ike Abonyi and Jaiyeola Andrews<\/p>\n<p>29 March 2011<\/p>\n<hr class=\"thin clear\" \/>\n<p>Abuja\/Lagos \u2014 TNS-RMS, the biggest research company in Nigeria and sub-Saharan Africa, Monday released the results of its opinion poll ahead of the general election which predicted victory for President Goodluck Jonathan.<\/p>\n<p>In the meantime, with a projection by his field officers that he would do well in the 19 Northern states, the presidential candidate of the Congress for Progressive Change (CPC), Major General Muhammadu Buhari (rtd), has set his sight on getting the mandatory 25 per cent in at least seven states in the South.<\/p>\n<p><!-- close google_inset_a div ---><\/p>\n<p>Briefing newsmen in Lagos Monday, CEO-West, East and Central Africa of RNS-RMS, Mr. Adeola Tejumola, said the presidential race is tilted in favour of Jonathan with a score of 66 per cent.<\/p>\n<p>Buhari scored 18 per cent, Nuhu Ribadu of the Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN), 6 per cent and Ibrahim Shekarau of the All Nigeria Peoples Party (ANPP), 3 per cent.<\/p>\n<p>These figures compare strikingly with the results of the poll recently conducted for THISDAY by Ipsos, world&#8217;s leading polling firm, which gave Jonathan 60.3 per cent, Buhari 22.4 per cent, Shekarau 5.9 per cent and Ribadu 4.7 per cent.<\/p>\n<p>Tejumola said 15,124 respondents aged 18 years and above were interviewed nationally across all the states of the federation through a face-to-face quantitative approach.<\/p>\n<p><!-- close google_inset_b div ---><\/p>\n<p>He said multi-stage stratified random probability sampling approach was employed in respondent selection in order to avoid bias, adding that local government area in each state was given an equal chance of either being included or excluded in the sample.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Whilst various political parties are presently jostling to outdo each other in convincing the electorate (via rallies) that their candidates and parties should be voted for during next month&#8217;s elections, Nigerians claimed that the personality of the candidate is more important to them (85 per cent) than the political party (15 per cent) candidates belong to,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p>He said an overwhelming number of respondents (87 per cent) claimed incumbent Governor of Lagos State Babatunde Raji Fashola of the ACN would be returned to office. A distant 3 per cent ticked Dr. Shamsudeen Ade Dosunmu as likely winner of same election.<\/p>\n<p><!-- close google_inset_c div ---><\/p>\n<p>&#8220;This actually amounts to a landslide victory for the incumbent Lagos State governor, bearing in mind that there are over five candidates running for the governorship position in the state,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p>THISDAY\/Ipsos poll called 92 per cent in favour of Fashola.<\/p>\n<p>On the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), TNS-RMS CEO revealed that the opinion poll showed that 77 per cent of respondents rated INEC high on performance, with 76 per cent saying they have faith in INEC&#8217;s ability to conduct free and fair elections.<\/p>\n<p>Tejumola explained: &#8220;In spite of recent violence and unrest in some parts of the country attributed to upcoming elections, almost all respondents (92 per cent) said democracy is a better form of government.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>However, Buhari has set his sight on getting the mandatory 25 per cent from at least seven states in the South.<\/p>\n<p><!-- close google_inset_d div ---><\/p>\n<p>Although the constitution requires the winner to score at least 25 per cent in a minimum of 24 states in addition to winning a simple majority of the votes, Buhari&#8217;s camp is targeting at least 26 states.<\/p>\n<p>THISDAY learnt that rising from a strategy meeting in Abuja recently, the CPC identified crisis-ridden Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) states in the South, namely Ogun and Oyo in the South-west, Bayelsa and Akwa Ibom in the South-south and Imo, Enugu and Ebonyi in the South-east as &#8220;vulnerable areas&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>THISDAY learnt that certain politicians from the affected states have been shortlisted and contacted for a deal that can help the retired general make the statutory 25 per cent.<\/p>\n<p>Buhari is hoping to win the election in the first ballot but is worried about getting the spread as required by the constitution.<\/p>\n<p>According to the source, those shortlisted were mostly disgruntled PDP members who had been shut out by their governors and the PDP leadership.<\/p>\n<p>An additional strategy, it was gathered, is to reach out to the youths of the area who are angry with the state of things in the country.<\/p>\n<p>THISDAY sources at the strategy meeting said that the CPC was targeting 15 states in the North for outright victory as well as an average performance in three and a struggle to make the 25 per cent where they expect PDP to do better.<\/p>\n<p>Curiously, among the seven states they are chasing 25 per cent in the South is President Jonathan&#8217;s home state of Bayelsa where they are hoping to take maximum advantage of the crisis in the state to woo the angry and frustrated politicians some of whom have been making approaches on their own to the party.<\/p>\n<p>President Jonathan and the PDP are hoping to make 25 per cent in all the 36 states in addition to winning the majority of votes.<\/p>\n<p><!-- end story layout piece here --><\/p>\n<p><!-- close google_banner_subbody div ---><\/p>\n<fieldset>\n<legend align=\"center\"><b>More News on allAfrica.com<\/b><\/legend>\n<\/fieldset>\n<p>AllAfrica &#8211; All the Time<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<\/div>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<p>See more here:<br \/>\n<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/allafrica.com\/stories\/201103290196.html\" title=\"Nigeria: Survey Predicts Victory for Jonathan\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Nigeria: Survey Predicts Victory for Jonathan<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p> Ike Abonyi and Jaiyeola Andrews 29 March 2011 Abuja\/Lagos \u2014 TNS-RMS, the biggest research company in Nigeria and sub-Saharan Africa, Monday released the results of its opinion poll ahead of the general election which predicted victory for President Goodluck Jonathan. In the meantime, with a projection by his field officers that he would do well in the 19 Northern states, the presidential candidate of the Congress for Progressive Change (CPC), Major General Muhammadu Buhari (rtd), has set his sight on getting the mandatory 25 per cent in at least seven states in the South. Briefing newsmen in Lagos Monday, CEO-West, East and Central Africa of RNS-RMS, Mr<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-346175","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Nigeria: Survey Predicts Victory for Jonathan - Ghanamma.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ghanamma.com\/2011\/03\/29\/nigeria-survey-predicts-victory-for-jonathan\/\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Nigeria: Survey Predicts Victory for Jonathan - Ghanamma.com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"Ike Abonyi and Jaiyeola Andrews 29 March 2011 Abuja\/Lagos \u2014 TNS-RMS, the biggest research company in Nigeria and sub-Saharan Africa, Monday released the results of its opinion poll ahead of the general election which predicted victory for President Goodluck Jonathan. In the meantime, with a projection by his field officers that he would do well in the 19 Northern states, the presidential candidate of the Congress for Progressive Change (CPC), Major General Muhammadu Buhari (rtd), has set his sight on getting the mandatory 25 per cent in at least seven states in the South. Briefing newsmen in Lagos Monday, CEO-West, East and Central Africa of RNS-RMS, Mr\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"http:\/\/www.ghanamma.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/03\/cbde1a16thisday180.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@ghanamma\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@ghanamma\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"4 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.ghanamma.com\/2011\/03\/29\/nigeria-survey-predicts-victory-for-jonathan\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.ghanamma.com\/2011\/03\/29\/nigeria-survey-predicts-victory-for-jonathan\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"\",\"@id\":\"\"},\"headline\":\"Nigeria: Survey Predicts Victory for Jonathan\",\"datePublished\":\"2011-03-29T04:03:33+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.ghanamma.com\/2011\/03\/29\/nigeria-survey-predicts-victory-for-jonathan\/\"},\"wordCount\":809,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.ghanamma.com\/2011\/03\/29\/nigeria-survey-predicts-victory-for-jonathan\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"http:\/\/www.ghanamma.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/03\/cbde1a16thisday180.jpg\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.ghanamma.com\/2011\/03\/29\/nigeria-survey-predicts-victory-for-jonathan\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.ghanamma.com\/2011\/03\/29\/nigeria-survey-predicts-victory-for-jonathan\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.ghanamma.com\/2011\/03\/29\/nigeria-survey-predicts-victory-for-jonathan\/\",\"name\":\"Nigeria: Survey Predicts Victory for Jonathan - Ghanamma.com\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.ghanamma.com\/2011\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.ghanamma.com\/2011\/03\/29\/nigeria-survey-predicts-victory-for-jonathan\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.ghanamma.com\/2011\/03\/29\/nigeria-survey-predicts-victory-for-jonathan\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"http:\/\/www.ghanamma.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/03\/cbde1a16thisday180.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2011-03-29T04:03:33+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.ghanamma.com\/2011\/03\/29\/nigeria-survey-predicts-victory-for-jonathan\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.ghanamma.com\/2011\/03\/29\/nigeria-survey-predicts-victory-for-jonathan\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"http:\/\/www.ghanamma.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/03\/cbde1a16thisday180.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"http:\/\/www.ghanamma.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/2011\/03\/cbde1a16thisday180.jpg\"},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.ghanamma.com\/2011\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.ghanamma.com\/2011\/\",\"name\":\"Ghanamma.com\",\"description\":\"News In Ghana - Latest Ghana News Headlines\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/www.ghanamma.com\/2011\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Nigeria: Survey Predicts Victory for Jonathan - Ghanamma.com","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.ghanamma.com\/2011\/03\/29\/nigeria-survey-predicts-victory-for-jonathan\/","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_title":"Nigeria: Survey Predicts Victory for Jonathan - Ghanamma.com","twitter_description":"Ike Abonyi and Jaiyeola Andrews 29 March 2011 Abuja\/Lagos \u2014 TNS-RMS, the biggest research company in Nigeria and sub-Saharan Africa, Monday released the results of its opinion poll ahead of the general election which predicted victory for President Goodluck Jonathan. In the meantime, with a projection by his field officers that he would do well in the 19 Northern states, the presidential candidate of the Congress for Progressive Change (CPC), Major General Muhammadu Buhari (rtd), has set his sight on getting the mandatory 25 per cent in at least seven states in the South. 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