Nana Addo stretches lead over Mills

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A new opinion poll by research outfit Synovate Ghana, formerly Steadman, puts opposition New Patriotic Party flagbearer Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo ahead of President John Mills by five percent if elections were held today Tuesday May 31, 2011. The new opinion poll for the month of May reveals the opposition NPP's Nana Akufo-Addo will maintain his 43 percent lead ahead of President Mills who lost three percentage points since April's opinion poll by the same research body

The latest opinion poll by international market research organization, Synovate, still have the 2012 Presidential Candidate of the New Patriotic Party, Nana Addo Dankwa Akufo-Addo, ahead of President John Atta Mills, indicating that if elections were held today Nana Akufo-Addo would lead but still fall short of the more than 50% mark.

However, while Nana Akufo-Addo’s popularity remains constant at 43% as compared to the April 2011 survey, President Mills has seen his popularity dipped three percentage points in the last month alone from 41% to 38%.

“Considering Nana Addo is yet to present to the people of Ghana his manifesto programmes for 2012,” and he does not enjoy the kind of free visibility that the President enjoys on a daily basis, this is but a modest reflection of the sense of hopelessness that ordinary Ghanaians are experiencing under a government that is known for breaking promises and increasing the suffering of the masses like there is no electoral tomorrow.” says Herbert Krapa, the Press Secretary to the NPP flagbearer.

Meanwhile, NDC Propaganda Secretary Richard Quashiga has again rubbished this Synovate poll as not credible.

Perhaps, as a sign of voter disillusionment, a significant 6% of the 2,000 people polled across the nation, said they won’t vote. 5% described hunger as the most serious problem facing Ghanaians today, with joblessness remaining the greatest concern of Ghanaians under the Mills-Mahama administration.

This latest Synovate poll took a larger sample size than 1,037 used in the previous month.

Again, like in April, when asked what they considered as most serious problems facing the country, respondents cited rising unemployment (39%), high prices of fuel and food items (21), corruption (9%), politics (9%), lack of education (6%), hunger (5%) lack of health (3%) and 2% citing crime.

The Synovate sampling also has the NPP flagbearer leading in three out of the four swing regions, with President Mills recovering in popularity in the Central Region, his home base, with 44% (as compared to 31% last month) and Nana Addo dropping from 52% to 40%.

However, Nana Addo maintained his lead in the Greater Accra Regionwith 35% (from a dip of 47% in April), Western Region 57% (up from 49%) and Brong Ahafo 51%, a massive jump from 36% last month.

Mills, on the other hand, suffered popularity losses in all three swing regions, in the second most populous region, Greater Accra, Nana led with 32% (down from 43% in April), Western 25% (reduced from 25%) and with Brong Ahafo he received a much lower gain to Nana Addo, with 35% (up from 30%).

7% of those questioned said they were not attached to any political party, with 4% identifying themselves with the PNC and 7% with the CPP. 44% said the NPP was their favourite party and 38% chose the NDC.

Nana Addo maintained his April lead in the other two most populated regions in the country. In the Ashanti Region his popularity stayed at 60%, while that of Mills dropped five percentage points to 23%.

In the Eastern Region, Nana Addo’s maintained his lead in his home base with 64%, a dip of 6 percentage points. Mills dropped two percentage points to 28%.

President Mills maintained his April strong lead in all three regions of north, registering 59%, 66% and 27% respectively in the Northern, Upper East and Upper West Regions.

Nana Addo stayed a distant second in the Northern 27% and Upper East Regions 20%, but closing the gap in the Upper West with 23%, while Edward Mahama registered a seemingly freakish 42% popularity in the home base of the party’s founder, the late Hilla Limann.

Paa Kwesi Nduom got 1% of in the Northern, 7% in the Upper East and 6% in the Upper West Regions.

Dr Nduom maintained his third place in all the other regions, registering as high as 11% in the Ashanti Region and as low as 1% in the Eastern Region.

The pollsters interviewed people in their homes. 93% (1,883) of the sample described themselves as registered voters.

“For households with more than one person aged 18years and above (multiple eligible persons in a household) we used the Kish grid, this is a table of random numbers. Only one interview was carried out per household and each respondent spoke for themselves,” Synovate says.

Synovate is the market research arm of Aegis Group plc, with offices in over 60 countries, including Ghana, Kenya, Australia and the United Kingdom.

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