By the turn of the century, four in 10 people in the world will be African, Unicef says
Africa’s under-18 population will swell by two-thirds to reach almost a billion by 2050, a new UN report says.
The findings show a “massive shift in the world’s child population towards Africa”, it says.
Its projections indicate that by 2050, about 40% of all children will be in Africa, up from around 10% in 1950.
This is despite the fact that child mortality rates in Africa will remain high, it says.
The continent currently accounts for about half of child mortality globally and the proportion could rise to around 70% per cent by 2050, according to the Generation 2030/Africa Report released by Unicef, the UN’s child agency.
‘Seismic demographic shifts’
However, high fertility rates and rising numbers of women of reproductive age mean that over the next 35 years, almost two billion babies will be born in Africa and the continent’s population will double in size, the report says.
“The seismic demographic shifts that Africa’s child population will experience are among the most important questions facing the continent, and indeed vital issues for the world,” it adds.
Nigeria is Africa’s most populous state with an estimated population of 166.6 million
An increase in the number of women is expected to lead to more births
Special attention should be given to Nigeria, Africa’s most populous country, as it already has the greatest number of births on the continent and will account for almost one in 10 births globally by 2050, the report says.
Africa’s share of world population:
- 1950: 9%
- 2015: 16%
- 2050: 25%
- 2100: 39%
Source: United Nations Population Division projections
“This report must be a catalyst for global, regional and national dialogue on Africa’s children,” said Leila Gharagozloo-Pakkala, Unicef’s regional director for eastern and southern Africa.
“By investing in children now – in their health, education and protection – Africa could realise the economic benefits experienced previously in other regions and countries that have undergone similar demographic shifts,” she said.