Perhaps one of the most difficult questions in the Ghanaian politician arena is who will vote for President John Dramani Mahama in the 2016 elections?
First, there are very strong indications that even in his own party, some very powerful forces including gurus; Members of Parliament and party officials are peeved.
Some of them including former Parliamentary leader Alban Bagbin have openly expressed their discomfort with the fact that the President has surrounded himself with people who have no commitment of the National Democratic Congress (NDC).
When Bagbin launched salvos in the direction of the President, he was received in Parliamentary by both the majority and minority as a hero.
Bagbin also went on television to publicly declare that even though he would not join the contest for the flagbearership of the NDC, he had some disagreements with President Mahama.
Some pro-NDC newspapers have also speculated that Rt. Hon. Edward Doe-Adjaho Speaker of Parliament can emerge as a credible challenger for the Presidential candidature of the NDC in 2016.
The Speaker has vehemently denied any such ambition but there is some analysis which suggests that his growing stature may account for the speculation.
By far the most serious indication of trouble is the recent threat of the Chiefs and people of the Volta Region to organize a demonstration against the lack of development in the region.
The complaints range from lack of portable water through bad roads to the collapse of social services.
Interestingly, the National Democratic Congress (NDC) has been scoring more than 90 percent in elections in the Volta Region? Could this mean the honeymoon is over for the NDC in the Region?
The story is not very different from the three Northern Regions. In the Northern Region, opinion leaders have expressed serious disappointed over the fact that there has been no closure to the gruesome murder of Ya Na, Yakubu Adani and his elders.
The recent murder of a claimant to the Bimbilla Skin in a manner which may not be too different from the murder of the Ya Na adds to the electoral problems of the Mahama administration.
In a recent bye election in Kumbumgu, the NDC was given a severe spanking largely on account of the lack of internal cohesion.
In both the Upper East and West Regions, the dominant complaint has been the lack of development projects.
The growing perception that the Mahama administration is distancing itself from the Mills legacy may also not be too helpful for the President in the next election in the Central and Western Regions.
There are strong indications that amongst the working class elements in such cities as Accra, Tema and Sekondi-Takoradi, the popularity of the Government is waning at a very alarming rate.
This is due primarily to the frequent increases in petroleum prices and utility tariffs and the general hardship occasioned by the loss in value of the cedi.
The Ghanaian business community also appears to have lost confidence in the government for the same reasons.
The Ghanaians left which had been sympathetic to the Mahama administration is also growing increasingly antagonistic following some very unpopular decisions which would entrench the neo-colonial position of Ghana.
The signing of the Economic Partnership Agreements (EPA) with the European Union appears to be a point of departure.
In a statement issued in Accra, The Economic Justice Network of Ghana which brings together mainly progressive, faith based and workers organizations said the EPA is “against the fundamental developmental needs and imperatives of the economies of West Africa.”
The Mahama administration also shot itself in the foot when it appeared to have jumped into bed with the Israeli Zionist regime.
During the visit of Avigdor Lieberman, Israeli Foreign Minister, Ghana is reported to have agreed to lead the campaign to get Israel readmitted to the African Union as an Observer.
There are also credible reports that Ghana and Israel have agreed to collaborate in specified security areas.
This has done substantial damage to the political chances of the Mahama administration amongst progressive forces and within the broader Islamic community.
As things stand now it has become extremely difficult to tell who will vote for President John Dramani Mahama in the 2016 elections.
It appears that the politics of Ghana is changing again and at a very fast rate.